Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

TK’s Special Briefing….

Austin / Travis County and South Central Texas Special Weather Briefing
Prepared by Incident Meteorologist Troy Kimmel (
815am CDT – Wednesday / 16 October  2013

…. Light to Moderate Rains …. NWS Flash Flood Watch No Longer in Effect ….

On this Wednesday morning.. the surface cold front has moved southeastward to near
the Texas coast. As cooler surface air has moved into the area, a lagging upper air disturbance,
to our west, is causing low level moisture from the Gulf of Mexico to continue to surge northwestward
and to “overrun” the colder surface air. In addition, the remnants of Pacific tropical cyclone Octave
have contributed some high level moisture as well. Light to moderate rain has been the result in the early
morning hours.

The flooding rain expected to materialize over the last 24 hours did not develop. Today, with
the threat of heavy rain decreased.. please note that we could still see upwards of additional
rainfall of 1/2 to 1 inch today.. the NWS/Austin-San Antonio has allowed the Flash Flood Watch
to drop. Still, however, given the excessive rain in some areas last weekend, everyone
should continue to watch low water crossings and normally flood prone areas especially where
torrential rains fell this past weekend.

As the upper air disturbance departs off to our northeast by later today into tonight and we see
the greatest upward lift and dynamics go with it, rain chances will decrease. By tomorrow (Thursday),
clouds will break a bit by tonight into tomorrow with warmer afternoon high temperatures tomorrow.

Another front and associated atmospheric disturbance will cause increased/thickening clouds and
renewed relatively slim rain chances by Friday into early Saturday but, at this point, no significant
problems are expected.

This is my final statement on this particular weather situation.