Updated 915am CT – Thursday / 11 October 2018
… A More Stable Weather Pattern Through Friday …
… Clouds and Rain Chances Reappear for Friday Night and the Weekend …
… Stronger Cold Front on Sunday …
On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a cold front extends southward from a surface low over the northern Great Lakes into the Tennessee Valley and the western part of the Florida panhandle and the northwestern Gulf of Mexico then into northeastern Mexico south of Brownsville then west northwestward into far west Texas east of El Paso. High pressure, behind the front, is centered over northern Nebraska. The remnants of tropical cyclone Michael are moving northeastward and are located over the Georgia/South Carolina border. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are northerly.
On the upper air map… a eastward moving deep broad trough, or line, of upper level low pressure is located from central Canada southwestward into the western two thirds of the USA. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are westerly 60 to 70 mph.
What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…
As the deep upper air low over the western two thirds of the USA moves eastward today, drier and more stable air continues to overspread our area from the north and northwest. This will result in slightly cooler temperatures that will continue to dominate through late week.
Another stronger cold front will move into the area by late Saturday into Sunday along with the mid and upper level remnants of Pacific tropical cyclone Sergio with rain chances and temperatures cooling further for late Friday into weekend into next week.
Guidance from the NWS/Weather Prediction Center suggests that we’ll see 1 to 2 inches of rain, on average, across our area for the period late tomorrow through the middle part of next week.
Have a good Thursday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
Follow me:
@troykimmelwx (Twitter)
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel (Facebook)
—
Updated 845am CT… Thursday / 11 October 2018
TODAY…. Mostly sunny. High 82. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TONIGHT…. A few clouds. Low 63. Light east northeasterly wind.
FRIDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 81. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers developing. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average less than 1/10th inch. Low 67. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy with a few rain showers before 3pm.. scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk after 3pm. A 20% chance of rain in the morning increasing to 40% by late afternoon. High 82. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. Low 69. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. High 78. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy and turning cooler with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk as a cold front passes. A 60% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. Low 54. Southerly wind shifting north northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph.
MONDAY…. Cloudy and much cooler with scattered to numerous rain showers. A 60% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. High 61. North northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 52. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
TUESDAY…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. High 61. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. Low 52. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. High 64. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 18 October 2018 through Wednesday / 24 October 2018…
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (11Oct)………………………………………. 7:31 am
Sunset this evening (11Oct)………………………………………… 7:04 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (12Oct)…………………………………………… 7:31 am
Sunset tomorrow (12Oct)……………………………………………. 7:03 pm