Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

With Rain Chances Past Us Now, A Stable Summer Weather Pattern Forecast Over the Next Seven Days with Saharan Dust Reappearing by Sunday into Next Week (Fr/27Jun2025)

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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…

Fr/27Jun… Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress..
Sa/28Jun… Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress..
Su/29Jun… Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress .. Saharan Dust ..
Mo/30Jun… Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress .. Saharan Dust ..
Tu/01 Jul…
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress .. Saharan Dust ..
We/02Jul… Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress .. Saharan Dust ..
Th/26Jun… Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress .. Lightning Threat ..

7-DAY TEXAS TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK…

No tropical threats are expected…

AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A weak upper level ridge continues overhead and will strengthen and continue to hold through the next seven day period. Afternoon high temperatures will combine with humidity to produce elevated afternoon heat stress levels.

(2) Model guidance suggests that we’ll see increasingly hazy conditions with Saharan dust making a reappearance in the area by Sunday afternoon through much of next week.

(3) Guidance suggests a slim chance of rain showers and thunderstorms by the end of next week with rain chances beginning next Thursday as the upper level ridge overhead weakens a little.

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center data and guidance, my forecast is for less than 0.15 inch of rainfall for our IH35 corridor counties over the 7 day forecast period which ends in the early morning hours next Tuesday.

MY LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through the next seven days.

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor
Updated Friday / 27  June 2025

FRIDAY (27Jun)…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 90s with afternoon heat index values of 103 F. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY (28Jun)…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 90s with afternoon heat index values of 104 F. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY (29Jun)…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 90s with afternoon heat index values of 104 F. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY (30Jun)…. Some brief morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. Hazy with Saharan dust. Highs in the upper 90s with afternoon heat index values of 105 F. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT… Mostly clear early then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY (01Jul)…. Mostly sunny. Hazy with Saharan dust. Highs in the upper 90s with afternoon heat index values of 105 F. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY (02Jul)…. Mostly sunny. Hazy with Saharan dust. Highs around 100 with afternoon heat index values of 106 F. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY (03Jul)…. Mostly sunny. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20%  chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch. Highs in the upper 90s with afternoon heat index values of 104 F. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 04 July 2025 through Thursday / 10 July 2025
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 20 June 2025)
Valid Saturday / 05 July 2025 through Friday / 18 July 2025
Temperatures… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Slightly Below Normal

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