Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Umbrella Weather… Rain and Storms Continue Through Today with Possible Heavier Rain and a Severe Thunderstorm Threat; A Partially Clearing Sky with a Drier and More Stable Weather Pattern Returning Mid Week Then Stable and Dry Into the Weekend (Tu/06May2025)

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Remember, in periods of severe/inclement weather, it is YOUR
responsibility
to always have at least two methods of getting current weather information..
.. follow me AND activate notifications on X/Twitter .. @troykimmelwx .
.. have your NWS All Hazards Weather Radio properly set AT ALL TIMES so it
can receive and activate/alarm when NWS watches and warnings are issued ..
.. register to receive emergency updates at https://warncentraltexas.org/
.. make sure the WEA alerts are activated in your settings on your smart phone ..
.. go to the NWS Austin-San Antonio website at weather.gov/ewx ..
.. go to http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=warewx&limit=20&fmt=html for a chronological text listing (most current
at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually)
of all NWS Austin-San Antonio watches, advisories and warnings..  Always check
the date and time of issuance of these NWS text products since, in periods of
tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..

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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…

Tu/06May… Lightning threat with any thunderstorm.. Severe and Heavy Rain Threat
We/07May… Lightning threat with any thunderstorm..
Th/08May… Other than a few rain showers, no weather hazards expected..
Fr/09May… No weather hazards expected..
Sa/10May… No weather hazards expected..
Su/11May… No weather hazards expected..
Mo/12May… No weather hazards expected..

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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A warm front has returned northward with low level gulf moisture having quickly increased with a significant upper level low pressure storm system approaches Texas from the west (associated with dynamic atmospheric lift) with rain and stormy weather in the offing. Heavier rain with some localized flooding issues and some severe thunderstorms with as associated large hail and tornado threat, primarily east of the IH35 corridor, may occur today.

(2) Partial clearing will occur tomorrow with some lingering
rain showers before we see a drier and more stable weather pattern, with abundant
sunshine, Friday through the weekend and into early next week.

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center data and guidance, my forecast is for 0.75 to 1.25 inches of rainfall, on average, for our IH35 corridor counties through the 7 day forecast period which ends in the early morning hours next Tuesday.

MY LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through the next seven days.

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and the IH35 Corridor
Updated Tueday / 06 May 2025

TODAY (06May)…. Cloudy with numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 2pm then rain chances decreasing. Periods of heavy rain. Hail and strong straight line thunderstorm winds possible. Isolated tornadoes possible. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 80% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.75 to 1.00 inch. High 86. South southeasterly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT…. Cloudy with widely scattered rain showers. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20%chance at any given location, will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 65. Southeasterly wind becoming light.

WEDNESDAY (07May)…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat as a cold front passes by afternoon. Decreasing clouds becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. Morning rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.10 inch. High 86. Light wind becoming northerly 4 to 8 mph by midday into the afternoon.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Widely scattered rain showers. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.05 inch. Low 65. Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY (08May)…. Partly cloudy. Widely scattered rain showers. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.05 inch or less. High 85. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 61. Light north northeasterly wind.

FRIDAY (09May)…. Sunshine. High 83. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 60. Light northeasterly wind.

SATURDAY (10May)…. Sunshine. High 82. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 59. Light northeasterly wind.

SUNDAY (11May)…. Mostly sunny. High 84. Light east northeasterly wind.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 58. Light wind.

MONDAY (12May)…. Sunshine. High 87. Light wind.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 13 May 2025 through Monday / 19 May 2025
Temperatures… Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Slightly Below Average

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday/02May2025)
Valid Saturday / 17 May 2025 through Friday / 30 May 2025
Temperatures… Better Chances of Higher Than Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Near to Slightly Below Normal

AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR SUNRISE/SUNSET TIMES…..
Today (Tu/06May)…………………………………… 6:43 am / 8:12 pm (+ 1 minutes)
Tomorrow (We/07May)…………………………….. 6:42 am / 8:13 pm (+ 2 minutes)

tk