Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Slim Thunderstorm Chances Today as the Summer Heat Continues (Fr/15Jul2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 15 July 2022

 

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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

…. Elevated Heat Indices and a Slim Thunderstorm Chance Continues Today ….

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) With upper level high pressure, anchored to our west over the four corners region, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, little change expected as a mostly stable summer like weather pattern continues. Abundant sunshine will continue for the week ahead with afternoon high temperatures warming to near 100 degrees or higher (well above seasonal averages) today into the weekend with elevated heat indices. Temperatures will continue to warm into next week with afternoon high temperatures once again approaching 105 degrees.

(2) The short range / high resolution weather forecast guidance indicates an isolated thunderstorm possibility today mainly south of the Austin metro area. With any thunderstorms, especially at peak daytime heating, there will be an associated frequent lightning and gusty wind threat. Once we get past today, rain chances drop from the seven day forecast.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting little or no rainfall over our area over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A very high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Friday / 15 July 2022

TODAY…. Mostly sunny. An isolated afternoon thunderstorm with an associated lightning threat mainly south of Austin. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 10% chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. High 100. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 101. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 103. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 103. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 78. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 103. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 78. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 104. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 79. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 105. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 22 July 2022 through Thursday / 28 July 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (15 Jul)………………………………………….. 6:40 am
Sunset this evening (15 Jul)……………………………………………. 8:34 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (16 Jul)………………………………………………. 6:40 am
Sunset tomorrow (16 Jul)……………………………………………….. 8:34 pm