Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Rain Chances Down a Bit… For Now (Th/25Aug2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Thursday / 25 August 2022

 

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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

…. A Lightning and Gusty Wind Threat with Thunderstorms Today and Tonight ….

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A more stable weather pattern will prevail through the balance of the week into the weekend. Even so, slim rain chances will linger with the return of a bit more sunshine late week through the weekend.

(2) The air mass overhead will, once again, turn a bit more unstable once we get into next week. There are some indications that another cold front will move southward into Texas by the latter part of next week (most effect just beyond my seven day forecast period); this will result in increased rain chances.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting an average rainfall of
0.50 inch over our area over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A very high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Thursday / 25 August 2022

TODAY…. Mostly sunny with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average less than 0.25 inch. High 95. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 8pm. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average less than 0.10 inch. Low 75. Light northeasterly wind becoming calm.

FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average less than 0.25 inch. High 95. Light northeasterly wind.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 76. Light wind.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average less than 0.10 inch. High 96. Light south southeasterly wind.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 76. Light south southeasterly wind.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch or less. High 94. Southerly wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch or less. High 94. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average less than 0.10 inch. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch or less. High 93. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average less than 0.10 inch. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch or less. High 93. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 01 September through Wednesday / 07 September 2022
Temperatures… Near to Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (25 Aug)………………………………………… 7:04 am
Sunset this evening (25 Aug)………………………………………….. 8:01 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (26 Aug)…………………………………………….. 7:04 am
Sunset tomorrow (26 Aug)……………………………………………… 8:00 pm