Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

More Clouds and Humidity; Changes by Late in the Weekend (9am, Th/19Nov2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Thursday / 19 November 2020 ….

  
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) As surface high pressure, and its associated surface clockwise circulation, continues east of our area, the south southeasterly surface wind flow will continue to increase low level moisture with more in the way of clouds for the latter half of week and through much of our upcoming weekend.

(2) By Sunday, enough moisture and instability will be in place for a few rain showers ahead of a rather strong cold front that is forecast to cross the IH35 corridor during the afternoon hours. Much cooler temperatures are likely to follow the front into the new week with an overrunning pattern persisting meaning clouds and some rain chances and cooler than average temperatures through Monday into Monday night.

(3) Partial clearing along with a bit of a warming trend will take hold for Tuesday and likely continuing through midweek as well as the Thanksgiving holiday period.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, for the IH35 corridor over the next seven days, indicates less than 0.25″.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to Very High Confidence through Saturday night
Medium Confidence Sunday through Tuesday

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Thursday / 19 November 2020

TODAY…. Morning low clouds and patchy fog otherwise partly cloudy. High 80. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 58. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds and patchy fog otherwise partly cloudy. High 80. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 62. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY…. Some morning low clouds and patchy fog otherwise partly cloudy. High 80. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds late. Low 64. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers as a cold front passes in the afternoon. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.10″. High 78 with temperatures cooling into the 60s by late afternoon. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph shifting north northwesterly 8 to 18 mph with some higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy and cooler with scattered rain showers. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average .05″ or less. Low 50. Northerly wind 10 to 20 mph with some higher gusts.

MONDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, will average .05″ or less. High 60. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.  

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 54. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light late.

TUESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy and warmer. High 74. Light winds becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy as a cold front passes. Low 56. Light easterly wind becoming north northwesterly 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 72. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming more northeasterly in the afternoon.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Thursday / 26 November 2020 through Wednesday / 02 December 2020…
Temperatures… Above Average    
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (19 November)…………………………………. 6:59 am
Sunset this evening (19 November)…………………………………… 5:33 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (20 November)……………………………………… 7:00 am
Sunset tomorrow (20 November)………………………………………. 5:32 pm