Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Monday Morning / 26 August 2019 Update….

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER HAZARDS
THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… Afternoon Heat Indices in the 105 to 110 F Degree Range …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES…

(1) After more clouds and a few areas of rain, a restabilization of the atmosphere is taking place. Afternoon high temperatures will rebound a few degrees for the next few days. Precipitation chances are dropped from the forecast. 

(3) The upper level high, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, will shift more west and northwest of our area allowing for a little destablization of the atmosphere beginning Wednesday. A cold front will move southward into Texas from the north and settle into central Texas, most likely staying north of our area, as it becomes stationary. At it closest approach to our local area on Thursday, I will include a slim chance of rain showers and thunderstorms.

(3) In what is a lower confidence forecast, it looks like a dry and more stable weather situation for Friday through most of the Labor Day weekend. It should be noted, however, that model guidance is still not in total agreement with some models trying to bring yet another cold front into Texas Sunday through Labor Day. Guidance also suggests a slug of very moist and unstable air moving west northwestward off the Gulf of Mexico in that same time period. At this point, I will keep a dry weather pattern for the local area through Sunday but, as usual, we need to keep an eye on weather features distant north and distant east southeast of the local area since these features, if they hold together, could result in rain and thunderstorm chances by late in the weekend into early next week.
 
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Monday / 26 August 2019

TODAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 103 with an afternoon heat stress index of 105 to 110. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 79. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 104 with an afternoon heat stress index of 106 to 112. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 79. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 102 with an afternoon heat stress index of 104 to 109. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy. Low 79. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. High 99 with an afternoon heat index of 103 to 107. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph except strong, variable and gusty around any thunderstorms.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk before 8pm. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. Low 76. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 99 with an afternoon heat stress index of 103 to 107. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 99 with an afternoon heat stress index of 103 to 107. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 100 with an afternoon heat stress index of 105 to 109. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK          
Valid Monday / 01 September 2019 through Sunday / 08 September 2019…
Temperatures… Above Average   
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (26 August)………………………………….. 7:04 am
Sunset this evening (26 August)……………………………………. 8:00 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (27 August)………………………………………. 7:05 am
Sunset tomorrow (27 August)……………………………………….. 7:59 pm