Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 05 February 2021

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Risks Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) In the wake of yesterday afternoon’s cold front, we’ve seen a lagging upper air low pressure disturbance move across the area this morning with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with even a few small hail reports. In the wake of this disturbance, we’ll see clearing skies later today into the weekend. East northeasterly surface winds may turn more east southeasterly late tonight into tomorrow.

(2) In a back ‘n forth move, a southward moving cold from the Mississippi Valley westward into the plains states now looks like it will move into the area by tomorrow afternoon with slightly cooler air building into the area tomorrow night into Sunday.

(3) As a series of upper level low pressure disturbances move through the area by late Monday and Monday night, winds will return more southerly late Sunday into Monday night ahead of another much stronger cold front that will surge southward by late in the day Tuesday. As a result, don’t be surprised to see increased cloud cover by Monday night into Tuesday and Wednesday as this transition occurs. Based on the latest guidance, I will include slim rain chances for Wednesday into Thursday as even colder air moves into Texas from the north and a cloudy overrunning weather pattern becomes better established. No specific details yet, but, in a lower confidence forecast, wintry precipitation is a possibility over parts of our area by the latter part of next week in this overrunning pattern.  

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is forecasting less than .25″ rainfall for the IH35 corridor.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to Very High Confidence through Tuesday..
Medium Confidence Tuesday Night through Thursday..

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Friday / 05 February 2021

TODAY…. Decreasing clouds becoming mostly sunny. High 60. East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 43. Light easterly wind early becoming light southeasterly after midnight.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy in the morning then mostly sunny as a cold front passes in the afternoon. High 73. South southwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph shifting north northwesterly 10 to 20 mph with gusts to near 30 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 38. Northerly winds diminishing and becoming light and variable after midnight.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 69. Light and variable wind becoming south southeasterly and increasing to 5 to 12 mph by afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 47. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 77. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph and gusty.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 51. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with some higher gusts.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny with a cold front passing in the afternoon. High 70. South southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph shifting north northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph and gusty by afternoon.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy and colder. Low 36. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph and gusty.

WEDNESDAY…. Thickening clouds becoming cloudy. Much colder. High 49. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with a few sprinkles developing. Patches of freezing rain and sleet are possible in areas west through north of Austin. Low 33. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY…. Cloudy and unseasonably cold with a scattered rain and rain showers. Patches of freezing rain and sleet are possible in areas west through north of Austin. High around 40. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Friday / 11 February 2021 through Thursday / 18 February 2021…
Temperatures… Below Average    
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (05 February)…………………………………. 7:20 am
Sunset this evening (05 February)…………………………………… 6:11 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (06 February)……………………………………… 7:19 am
Sunset tomorrow (06 February)………………………………………. 6:11 pm