Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Isolated Thunderstorms This Afternoon (We/07Sep2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 07 September 2022

Will Be Updated Shortly…

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… Other Than Lightning Associated with Isolated Afternoon
Thunderstorms Today, No Weather Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Even though we could see an isolated afternoon into early evening thunderstorm today with rain chances less than 20% for any location over south central Texas.. there still appears to be a general stabilization of the air mass for the coming days so I will, after today, keep the seven day forecast generally rain free. Temperatures will be warming a bit over the coming days.

(2) I’m watching atmospheric model and manual guidance suggesting a shifting upper air wind pattern which would support the southward advancement of a weak cold front by late Sunday night into Monday. I’ll hold off of any rain chances until my forecast confidence increases a little more.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting an average rainfall of
less than 0.25 inch over our area for the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Wednesday / 07 September 2022

TODAY…. Mostly sunny. Isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average less than 0.25 inch. High 95. Calm wind becoming northeasterly 4 to 8 mph. Winds strong, variable and gusty around any thunderstorms.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 74. Light east northeasterly wind becoming calm.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 95. Calm wind becoming northeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 73. Light east northeasterly wind becoming calm.

FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 95. Calm wind becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 73. East southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming calm.

SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 96. Calm wind becoming light east northeasterly.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 73. Light wind.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 97. Light easterly wind.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 74. Light wind.

MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 95. Light northeasterly wind.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 72. Light northerly wind.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 95. Light north northeasterly wind.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 14 September through Tuesday / 20 September 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Near to Slight Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (07 Sep)………………………………………… 7:11 am
Sunset this evening (07 Sep)………………………………………….. 7:46 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (08 Sep)…………………………………………….. 7:12 am
Sunset tomorrow (08 Sep)……………………………………………… 7:45 pm