Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

High Heat Stress Temperatures with a Stray Thunderstorm Today (Fri/28Aug2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 28 August 2020 ….

  
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… Heat Index (Feel Like) Temps this Afternoon as High as 110 to 112 Degrees …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A dry and stable summer weather pattern prevails through the weekend and into Monday. An isolated thunderstorm may form this afternoon in the intense afternoon heat mainly north of Austin with gusty winds being the threat.

(2) By late Monday into Tuesday, we’ll see a trough, or line, of upper level low pressure move across the area. Given abundant low level moisture and increased atmospheric instability, I expect widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms for Tuesday, Tuesday night into Wednesday under a partly cloudy sky.

(3) A return to be a more stable weather pattern with abundant sunshine and above average afternoon high temperatures for the latter part of next week.

(4) Longer range outlooks are now suggesting a general pattern chance which could potentially bring a cold front into Texas along with better precipitation chances just beyond the seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Today..
High to very high forecast confidence (Reference any rain chances north of area)
Tonight through Monday Night..
Very high confidence
Tuesday through Wednesday..
Medium to High Confidence (Reference rain chances)
Thursday..
High confidence

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Friday / 28 August 2020

TODAY…. Mostly sunny. Isolated rain showers and thunderstorms developing with an associated lightning threat after 3pm in areas north of Austin; A 20%chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. High 104. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph except strong, variable and gusty around any thunderstorms.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 79. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 103. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 78. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 102. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 78. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 101. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 78. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 20%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25″. High 100. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph except strong, variable and gusty around any thunderstorms.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 20%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25″. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 20%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25″. High 100. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph except strong, variable and gusty around any thunderstorms.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 99. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK          
Valid Thursday / 03 September 2020 through Wednesday / 09 September 2020…
Temperatures… Above Average   
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (28 August)………………………………….. 7:06 am
Sunset this evening (28 August)……………………………………. 7:58 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (29 August)………………………………………. 7:06 am
Sunset tomorrow (29 August)……………………………………….. 7:57 pm