Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Friday Morning / 23 August 2019 Update….

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER HAZARDS
THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… Afternoon Heat Indices in the 101 to 106 F Degree Range …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES…

(1) The atmosphere has become a bit more unstable as evidenced by the very isolated rain showers that made it northwestward into the IH35 corridor yesterday. I am still not confident enough regarding precipitation chances over the next 24 to 30 hours to go any higher than isolated coverage in the forecast. I will increase cloud cover a bit, drop afternoon highs a degree or so and update the precipitation wording to “isolated” and will mention 10% probabilities through tomorrow.

(2) A restabilization of the atmosphere appears to take place beginning Sunday and continuing through the middle part of next week. After a few degree drop in temperatures today and tomorrow, temperatures will rebound a few degrees for the period. Precipitation chances are dropped from the forecast. 

(3) A more pronounced weather pattern change appears likely for the latter part of next week and through the long Labor Day weekend as a cold front moves southward through the plains states and into Texas. That being said, model guidance is still not in sync with varying solutions depending on which models you view. As course of least regret, I will introduce slim precipitation chances for the latter part of next week.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Friday / 23 August 2019

TODAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with isolated afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk after 2pm. A 10% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. High 100. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph except strong, variable and gusty around any thunderstorms.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy with isolated evening rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk before 8pm. A 10% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph except strong, variable and gusty around any thunderstorms.

SATURDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with isolated afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk after 2pm. A 10% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. High 99. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph except strong, variable and gusty around any thunderstorms.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with isolated evening rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk before 8pm. A 10% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph except strong, variable and gusty around any thunderstorms.

SUNDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 101. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 78. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 102. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 79. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 102. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 79. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 101. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy. Low 79. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. High 100. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph except strong, variable and gusty around any thunderstorms.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK          
Valid Friday / 30 August 2019 through Thursday / 05 September 2019…
Temperatures… Near to Slightly Below Average   
Precipitation… Above  Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (23 August)………………………………….. 7:03 am
Sunset this evening (23 August)……………………………………. 8:04 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (24 August)………………………………………. 7:03 am
Sunset tomorrow (24 August)……………………………………….. 8:03 pm