Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

TK’s Weather Discussion

Updated 845am CST Wednesday / 27 February 2013

A Dry Stable Weather Pattern Continues….

On this Wednesday… a surface low pressure area is over west central Texas with a cold front extending westward into far west Texas. Given this surface pressure pattern, surface winds are moderate northwesterly across our area.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere, a broad area of upper level low pressure is over the southern Great Lakes. As a result of this upper air wind flow, our upper level winds are strong westerly with winds over Austin at about 18,500 feet being westerly around 60 to 70 mph.

Drier air continues to surge into our area on the heels of surface west and northwesterly surface winds. The cold front over Texas.. as it moves eastward.. will act to reinforce the air mass already in place.

This current pattern will prevail through much of the next seven day period. I expect another cold front  through Texas by early next week but with no or very limited moisture ahead of it, very little in way of sensible weather is expected over than the associated frontal wind shift.

Unfortunately, given our ongoing drought, I don’t see any rain chances over the next seven days.

Have a good Wednesday night and Thursday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
[email protected]
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

TK’s Forecast Discussion

Updated 845am CST Tuesday / 26 February 2013

A Dry Stable Weather Pattern Through Much of the Next Seven Days….
Another Cold Front Due Tomorrow Morning….

On this Tuesday… a surface low pressure area is over the Missouri bootheel with a cold front extending southeastward through Alabama and the central Gulf of Mexico. Given this surface pressure pattern, surface winds are light to moderate west northwesterly across our area.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere, a strong upper level low is over southern Missouri. As a result of this upper air wind flow, our upper level winds are strong west northwesterly with winds over Austin at about 18,500 feet being west northwesterly around 90 mph.

Drier air continues to surge into our area on the heels of surface west northwesterly winds.

A drier and stable weather pattern continues in the wake of yesterday’s wind storm. This pattern will prevail through much of the next seven day period. I expect another cold front  through Texas by tomorrow morning but with no or very limited moisture ahead of it, very little in way of sensible weather is expected over than the associated frontal wind shift.

The dry and stable weather pattern will be reinforced as the front passes the area. As a result, it’s more of the same through late week through the weekend and into early next week.

Unfortunately, given our ongoing drought, I don’t see any rain chances over the next seven days.

Have a good Tuesday night and Wednesday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
[email protected]
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel