Updated 915am CT – Tuesday / 29 May 2018

… A Dry and Summer Like Seven Day Forecast Ahead …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… a low pressure area over southeastern Colorado with a trough, or line, of surface low pressure extending southwestward through far west Texas and eastern New Mexico. Subtropical depression Alberto is moving northward from central and northern Alabama. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are light southerly.

On the upper air map… a trough, or line, of upper air low pressure extends southward from Wyoming southward into New Mexico and Arizona. Another upper level low pressure area.. associated with subtropical storm Alberto.. is over central and northern Alabama. Upper level high pressure is over northern Mexico into the Rio Grande country of southwest Texas. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are northwesterly about 55 to 60 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

The dry weather pattern continues with this stable summer like weather pattern to prevail through the remainder of the week and into the upcoming weekend.

Although we’ve been a little slower getting to the 100 degree mark than I thought we would be, guidance is still suggesting that afternoon highs will rise to near 100 by the weekend as upper level high pressure builds northeastward into the area and establishes more of a “lid” on the atmosphere.

There are some indications that a weak cold front.. with stronger northwest winds aloft.. will make it southward into our area by Sunday into Monday next week. With upper air high pressure increasing its hold on the area, afternoon high temperatures locally may peak by Saturday and Sunday as the front tries to move deeper in Texas. I’m not yet convinced that the front will make it this far south and will hold off on any rain chances.

Based upon the latest NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance, no rainfall is expected over the next seven days for the local area.

Have a good Tuesday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
[email protected]
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

—

Updated 845am CT… Tuesday / 29 May 2018

TODAY…. Mostly sunny. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 72. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 99. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 73. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 99. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 73. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 99. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 73. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 100. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 73. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 101. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 73. Light and variable wind.

MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 98. Light and variable wind.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 05 June 2018 through Monday / 11 June 2018…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (29 May)………………………………………… 6:30 am
Sunset this evening (29 May)………………………………………….. 8:27 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (30 May)…………………………………………….. 6:30 am
Sunset tomorrow (30 May)……………………………………………… 8:28 pm

Updated 915am CT – Thursday / 24 May 2018

… A Dry Seven Day Forecast Ahead …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… surface high pressure is well to the east of the area. A low pressure area over southeastern Colorado with a trough, or line, of surface low pressure extending southwestward through New Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are light and variable or light southerly.

On the upper air map… a trough, or line, of upper air low pressure extends southward from western Canada over the eastern Pacific Ocean and western USA with a strong northeastward moving upper level low pressure disturbance embedded over southern and southwestern Canada. Upper level high pressure is building slowly northeastward out of Mexico into Texas and the southern US plains. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are westerly about 20 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

The dry weather pattern continues for today with this stable summer like weather pattern to prevail through the remainder of the week and through the upcoming long Memorial Day weekend and into most of next week.

Guidance strongly suggests that afternoon highs will rise into the mid and upper 90s to near 100 by the holiday weekend as upper level high pressure builds northeastward into the area and establishes a “lid” on the atmosphere.

I continue to watch a weak area of low pressure that is expected to move north northwestward from the western Caribbean Sea and the eastern Yucatan peninsula into the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico later today into tonight. Conditions appear to be quite favorable for development of a tropical depression or tropical storm as the system moves northward through the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico. Atmospheric models are in general agreement in suggesting the potential landfall of this system over the upcoming holiday weekend somewhere between the mouth of the Mississippi River and the western coast of Florida. In any case, the system stays well east of our local area with little/no effect expected.

Based upon the latest NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance, no rainfall is expected over the next seven days for the local area.

Have a good Thursday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
[email protected]
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

—

Updated 845am CT… Thursday / 24 May 2018

TODAY…. Some morning low clouds, otherwise mostly sunny. High 95. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear early with low clouds late. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Some morning low clouds, otherwise mostly sunny. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with low clouds late. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Some morning low clouds, otherwise mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 98. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with low clouds late. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Some morning low clouds, otherwise mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 99. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with low clouds late. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY /MEMORIAL DAY/…. Some morning low clouds, otherwise mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 99. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with low clouds late. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Some morning low clouds, otherwise mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 99. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with low clouds late. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Some morning low clouds, otherwise mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 98. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 31 May 2018 through Wednesday / 06 June 2018…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (24 May)………………………………………… 6:32 am
Sunset this evening (24 May)………………………………………….. 8:24 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (25 May)…………………………………………….. 6:32 am
Sunset tomorrow (25 May)……………………………………………… 8:24 pm