Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

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TK’s Austin/South Central Texas Forecast

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Updated 845am CDT.. Wednesday / 27 March 2013

TODAY…. Mostly sunny. High 70 to 74. Southerly wind increasing to 10 to 20 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. mostly cloudy after midnight. Low 51 to 55. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY…. Patchy morning drizzle.. otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain showers. High 71 to 75. South southeasterly wind 8 to 18 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average less than 1/10th of an inch.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain showers. Low 57 to 61. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average less than 1/10th of an inch.

FRIDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. High 73 to 77. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Low 60 to 64. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 of an inch.

SATURDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. High 74 to 78. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average less than 1/4 of an inch.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Low 61 to 65. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average less than 1/4 of an inch.

SUNDAY…. Patchy morning drizzle.. otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. High 75 to 79. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 of an inch.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds after 11pm. Low 61 to 65. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy. High 79 to 83. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain showers. Low 61 to 65. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/10th of an inch or less.

TUESDAY…. Mostly cloudy and a little cooler with a 30% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms as a cold front moves through the area by mid and late morning. High 72 to 76. South southeasterly wind shifting northerly 8 to 15 mph as the front passes through the area. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch or less.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 3 April 2013  through Tuesday / 9 April 2013…
Temperature… Near Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (27 March)…………………………. 7:26 am
Sunset this evening (27 March)………………………….. 7:47 pm
Sunrise Thursday (28 March)…………………………….. 7:25 am
Sunset Thursday (28 March)……………………………… 7:48 pm

TK’s Weather Discussion

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Updated 845am CDT Wednesday / 27 March 2013

Surface High Pressure Now Well East of the Area ….
Southerly Surface Winds Mean Increased Moisture and Cloud Cover ….
Rain Chances Late Week Through the Weekend and Again Monday into Tuesday ….

On this Wednesday… surface high pressure extends southward from eastern Missouri into Mississippi and southeastern Louisiana. Low pressure is developing over southeastern Colorado with a trough.. or line.. of low pressure southward into eastern New Mexico and west Texas. Given this surface pressure pattern, surface winds are southerly across our area of Texas.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere, upper air low pressure areas are located over the northeastern USA as well as along the Pacific coast of Washington with an otherwise more zonal (west to east) upper level wind pattern. As a result of this upper air wind flow, our upper level winds are light to moderate west northwesterly with winds over Austin at about 18,500 feet blowing about 35 to 45 mph.

With the surface high pressure now east of the area… southerly wind and the associated surface moisture are already increasing. Clouds will make their first appearance tonight into Thursday with the atmosphere becoming more moist and unstable by Thursday night and continuing through the weekend into early next week. We’ll see a slight chance of rain by Thursday through the weekend with the best chance being late Friday night into Saturday as upper air low pressure disturbances move overhead.

Through Monday, as the humidity, clouds and temperatures increase, I do not see any air mass changes. Latest guidance suggests that a moderate cold frontal passage will take place next Tuesday morning in the mid and late morning hours with widely scattered to scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. Slightly cooler temperatures will prevail in the wake of the front for the middle part of next week.

Have a good Wednesday night and Thursday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

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TK’s Audio Weather Webcast

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Updated 845am CT Tuesday/26 March 2013 [audio:https://troykimmelweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/2013.0326.1501z.TKW_.Audio_.mp3|titles=2013.0326.1501z.TKW.Audio]