Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

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TK’s Austin and South Central Texas Forecast….

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Updated 845am CT.. Tuesday / 13 May 2014

TODAY…. Cloudy and unseasonably cool with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. Where it occurs, given an 50% chance of rain at any given location, additional rainfall amounts will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch. High 67. Northerly wind 10 to 20 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy and unseasonably cool with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms before 9pm.. decreasing clouds after midnight. Where it occurs, given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, additional rainfall amounts will average 1/4 inch or less. Unseasonably cool. Low 54. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly cloudy in the morning becoming sunny in the afternoon. High 71. North northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. A clear sky with record low temperatures possible. Low 50. Light northeasterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Sunshine. High 80. Easterly wind becoming southeasterly 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. A clear sky. Low 54. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 84. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early.. becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Low 59. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 85. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 62. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 87. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Low 67. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 89. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 20 May 2014 through Monday / 26 May 2014…
Temperature… Near to Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (13 May)………………………………….. 6:38 am
Sunset this evening (13 May)…………………………………… 8:17 pm
Sunrise Wednesday (14 May)………………………………….. 6:37 am
Sunset Wednesday (14 May)…………………………………… 8:17 pm

TK’s Weather Discussion….

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Updated 845am CT – Tuesday / 13 May 2014

…. Unseasonably Cool with Lingering Clouds and Rain Today into Tonight ….
…. Return to Sunshine Tomorrow Through The Weekend ….
…. A Warming Trend Getting Underway Late Week into the Weekend ….

On this Tuesday morning…. a strong cold front is moving southeastward through east Texas to just ashore of the Texas coast into south Texas and then into northeastern Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our local surface winds are northerly.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere… a counterclockwise rotating trough, or line, of upper air low pressure extends from the upper Mississippi Valley south southwestward into west Texas and northern Mexico. The upper level winds over south central Texas and the Austin metro area about 18,000 feet above the ground, are westerly 20 to 30 mph.

The surface cold front has moved through the area but the upper level disturbance out west is lagging behind the cold front; as a result, rain showers and even some thunderstorms will continue to “overrun” the much cooler surface air for today into tonight until the upper level trough moves east of the area. We can expect to receive another 1/4 to 1/2 inch of rainfall with precipitation through tonight.

In the wake of the front and the upper level trough.. a drier and more stable weather pattern will prevail with a clearing sky and cooler temperatures, especially at night, through the end of the week. Surface high pressure will move east of the area by Friday allowing for a return south southeasterly surface wind by Friday into the weekend with a few clouds returning.

With the return to southerly surface winds, a warming trend will get underway late week into the weekend.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: My forecast confidence is high to very high over the next seven day period.

Have a good Tuesday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

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