Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

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TK’s Austin and South Central Texas Weather Forecast….

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Updated 845am CT.. Monday / 21 July 2014

TODAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 96. South southeasterly  wind 8 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear through midnight with some low clouds developing after midnight.  Low 74. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 96. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear through 11pm with some low clouds developing afterwards.  Low 74. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 97. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early then low clouds developing after 11pm. Low 74. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 98. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. A few clouds early then low clouds developing after 11pm. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 98. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. A few clouds early.. then low clouds developing after 12 midnight. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY….. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 98. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. A few clouds early.. then low clouds developing after 12 midnight. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 98. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 28 July 2014 through Sunday / 3 August 2014…
Temperature… Near Average
Precipitation… Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (21 July)……………………………………… 6:43 am
Sunset this evening (21 July)………………………………………. 8:31 pm
Sunrise Tuesday (22 July)………………………………………….. 6:44 am
Sunset Tuesday (22 July)…………………………………………… 8:31 pm

TK’s Weather Discussion….

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Updated 800am CT – Monday / 21 July 2014

…. A Dry Stable Weather Pattern Continues ….
…. No Mention of Rain Through the Seven Day Forecast Period ….

On this Monday morning…. a weakening stationary front extends westward from the lower Mississippi Valley westward into north central Texas. A trough.. or line.. extends southward from southeastern Colorado into New Mexico. High pressure is situated over the Gulf of Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our local surface winds are south southeasterly.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere… an area of upper level high pressure continues over the west Texas and the southeastern Rockies. An upper air disturbance is over the southeastern USA. As a result of this pattern, the upper level winds over south central Texas and the Austin metro area, about 18,000 feet above the ground, are light northeasterly 5 to 15 mph.

The upper level high pressure area continues to our immediate west and northwest.. this is keeping the atmospheric cap.. or “lid”..  in place with the dry summer weather pattern continuing as a result.

Little change is seen over the next seven days with the dry and stable summer pattern continuing over the next seven days. Heat will continue to build below the atmospheric “lid” with afternoon high temperatures a bit above seasonal averages. Temperature highs could reach the century mark at some reporting locations by late week into the weekend.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: My forecast confidence is very high over the balance of the seven day forecast period.

Have a good Monday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

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