Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

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TK’s Austin and South Central Texas Weather Forecast….

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Updated 845am CT.. Thursday / 07 May 2015

TODAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 40% chance of rain at any given location.. where it occurs, rainfall will average 1/4 inch. High 83. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 30% chance of rain at any given location.. where it occurs, rainfall will average 1/4 inch. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 50% chance of rain at any given location.. where it occurs, rainfall will average 1/4 inch. High 83. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 40% chance of rain at any given location.. where it occurs, rainfall will average 1/4 inch. Low 71. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms.. periods of heavy rain possible. A 60% chance of rain at any given location.. where it occurs, rainfall will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch. High 81. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with numerous rain showers and thunderstorms.. periods of heavy rain possible. A 70% chance of rain at any given location.. where it occurs, rainfall will average 1/2 to 1 inch. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy with numerous rain showers and thunderstorms.. periods of heavy rain possible. A 70% chance of rain at any given location.. where it occurs, rainfall will average 1/2 to 1 inch. High 80. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with numerous rain showers and thunderstorms.. periods of heavy rain possible. A 70% chance of rain at any given location.. where it occurs, rainfall will average 1/2 to 1 inch. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms as a cold front passes by late afternoon. A 50% chance of rain at any given location.. where it occurs, rainfall will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch. High 84. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph becoming northeasterly in the afternoon.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy and a little cooler with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 30% chance of rain at any given location.. where it occurs, rainfall will average 1/4 inch. Low 65. Northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 30% chance of rain at any given location.. where it occurs, rainfall will average 1/4 inch. High 79. Northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming more east southeasterly by late afternoon.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 30% chance of rain at any given location.. where it occurs, rainfall will average 1/4 inch. Low 66. East southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 50% chance of rain at any given location.. where it occurs, rainfall will average 1/4 inch. High 79. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 14 May 2015 through Wednesday / 20 May 2015…
Temperature… Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (07 May)…………………………………………. 6:42 am
Sunset this evening (07 May)…………………………………………… 8:13 pm
Sunrise Friday (08 May)………………………………………………….. 6:42 am
Sunset Friday (08 May)…………………………………………………… 8:14 pm

TK’s Weather Discussion….

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Updated 915am CT – Thursday / 07 May 2015

.. Rain and Thunderstorm Chances Continue ..
.. Heavier Rain Possible for the Weekend ..
.. Weak Cold Frontal Passage Due Late Monday ..

On this Thursday…. a surface high pressure area is the southeastern USA. A trough.. or line.. of surface low pressure extends southward from eastern Colorado and western Kansas into far west Texas and eastern New Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our local surface winds are south southeasterly.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere.. an deepening (strengthening) upper level low pressure system is over northern California and extreme western Nevada. As a result, our upper air winds at about 18,500 feet are west southwesterly.

With the broad area of upper air low pressure storm system still out to our west.. we’ll continue to see weak disturbances being ejected and then moving northeastward across the state of Texas. As these disturbances approach us, we’ll see increased atmospheric lift with increased cloud cover and rain showers and thunderstorm chances through the balance of the seven day forecast period. With the chance of thunderstorms comes the risk of dangerous cloud to ground lightning.

The latest guidance.. from the National Weather Service.. suggests than 3 inches or more of additional rain could fall across our area beginning tomorrow through the mid part of next week. I am watching particularly the weekends with the best chance of rain and thunderstorms.. and potential heavy rain.. for Saturday through Sunday night.

Temperatures will be near or slightly below seasonal averages through the next seven days.

Have a good Thursday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

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