Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Updated 915am CT – Monday / 23 January 2017

… A Mostly Dry and Stable Weather Pattern Over the Next Week …
… A Cold Front with a Cooling Trend by Middle Part of the Week …

On this Monday… a strong surface low pressure system is over the Appalachians with a cold front extending southeastward into the southwest North Atlantic Ocean east of Florida. Surface high pressure, behind the front, extends southward from eastern Kansas into south Texas. To the northwest, a surface low pressure area is over eastern Colorado with a developing trough, or line, of surface low pressure extending southward into eastern New Mexico and far west Texas. As a result, our surface winds across south central Texas are light and variable.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere.. a deep upper level low pressure area is over the Carolinas with a deep trough, or line, of upper level low pressure extending southward across Florida. Another strong upper level low pressure area is over the eastern Pacific west of Oregon with a trough extending south southwestward off the est coast of the USA.
Our upper level winds, at about 18,500 feet overhead, are westerly at 55 to 65 mph.

In the wake of the passing upper level storm system and surface cold front late Saturday into the predawn hours yesterday, a mostly dry and stable weather pattern continues across our area with the surface high pressure overhead this morning.

By later today, as the surface high pressure area and its attendant clockwise wind flow moves eastward, our surface winds will return southerly. With abundant sunshine, our temperatures will warm a bit through tomorrow with a record high temperature (81F back in 2013) threatened at Austin City / Camp Mabry for tomorrow.

I expect our next cold front to pass through the area as the low pressure area out west moves through the area tomorrow night into the predawn hours Wednesday. Limited low level moisture return and a fairly stable air mass will preclude any rain chances as the front passes.

Cooler temperatures will prevail Wednesday through the upcoming weekend. Another very weak reinforcing cold front will pass the area late Friday into Saturday with only a few clouds present.

I do not expect any precipitation over the next seven days with temperatures, after the cold front tomorrow night, falling back to seasonal levels.

Have a good Monday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
[email protected]
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT.. Monday / 23 January 2017

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 74. Light wind becoming southerly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

TONIGHT…. A clear sky. Low 51. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 81. South southwesterly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy as a cold front passes after midnight. Low 47. Southwesterly wind shifting northwesterly 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny.. breezy and cooler. High 64. North northwesterly 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 38. Light northerly wind.

THURSDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 62. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 39. Light north northeasterly wind.

FRIDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 63. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 40. North northwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 63. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 37. Light northerly wind.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 64. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 30 January 2017 through Sunday / 05 February 2017…
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (23 Jan)……………………………………………. 7:26 am
Sunset this evening (23 Jan)……………………………………………… 5:59 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (24 Jan)………………………………………………… 7:26 am
Sunset tomorrow (24 Jan)…………………………………………………. 6:00 pm

TK’s Special Briefing…. (700pm CT-Sun/22Jan2017)

Austin / Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Update #3 - FINAL REPORT
Prepared by UT University/Incident Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
700pm CT - Sunday / 22 January 2017

Winds have decreased and the wind advisory has expired. As a result,
this is my final update.

tk

For the record, courtesy of the NWS/Austin-San Antonio, here are the peak wind 
reports over the last 24 hours for the IH35 Corridor Area and the Austin
metropolitan area...
     

...Bastrop County...
1 NW Camp Swift              39 MPH    0908 AM 01/22   30.20N/97.30W        

...Blanco County...
Blanco                       44 MPH    1100 AM 01/22   30.09N/98.42W        
3 WNW Twin Sisters           41 MPH    1015 AM 01/22   30.02N/98.46W         

...Burnet County...
8 SSW Bertram                47 MPH    1035 AM 01/22   30.63N/98.08W        
Burnet Municipal Kate Craddo 44 MPH    1238 PM 01/22   30.74N/98.24W        

...Caldwell County...
San Marcos Municipal Airport 49 MPH    0145 PM 01/22   29.89N/97.86W        

...Fayette County...
La Grange                    41 MPH    1115 AM 01/22   29.91N/96.95W        

...Guadalupe County...
New Braunfels Municipal Airp 52 MPH    1215 AM 01/22   29.70N/98.04W        

...Hays County...
4 WNW Mountain City          40 MPH    0948 AM 01/22   30.08N/97.96W        

...Lee County...
Giddings                     40 MPH    0115 PM 01/22   30.28N/96.98W        

...Travis County...
Bergstrom Intl Airport       50 MPH    0859 AM 01/22   30.18N/97.68W        
Rusty Allen Ap               48 MPH    0755 AM 01/22   30.50N/97.97W        
Austin Executive Airport     45 MPH    1255 PM 01/22   30.40N/97.57W        
Camp Mabry                   43 MPH    0820 AM 01/22   30.30N/97.70W        
2 W Tanglewood Forest        39 MPH    0318 PM 01/22   30.18N/97.87W         

...Williamson County...
Georgetown Municipal Airport 40 MPH    0750 AM 01/22   30.68N/97.68W        

Observations are collected from a variety of sources with varying
equipment and exposures. Not all data listed are considered official.

$$

NWS Austin/San Antonio TX
IRIS System