Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Little Change Expected as Upper Level High Pressure Rules (Th/28Jul2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Thursday / 28 July 2022

Not Available Today…

Contact me:
[email protected]
[email protected]

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

…. Elevated Heat Indices with Above Average Temps Continuing Over the Area ….

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Upper level high pressure, anchored east-to-west to our north stretching westward from the southeastern USA into the southwestern USA, is acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere. The upper level high pressure has weakened very slightly over the southern plains; however, little change is expected as a stable summer weather pattern continues. Abundant sunshine will continue through the remainder of the week and through the weekend with afternoon high temperatures staying at 100 degrees or slightly above – well above seasonal averages – with elevated heat indices. Isolated afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms are possible in areas southeast of the Austin area but should not be a factor on the IH35 corridor itself.

(2) Over the next few days, this slightly weakening of the upper level high pressure will allow a surface cold front to move southward into the Red River country of southern Oklahoma and north and northwest Texas. The front will weaken and wash out by Saturday and return back northeastward with no effect locally.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting no rainfall over our area over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A very high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.

—-

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Thursday / 28 July 2022

TODAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 102. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 103. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 102. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 102. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 102. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 103. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 103. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 04 August through Wednesday / 10 August 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (28 Jul)………………………………………….. 6:47 am
Sunset this evening (28 Jul)……………………………………………. 8:27 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (29 Jul)………………………………………………. 6:48 am
Sunset tomorrow (29 Jul)……………………………………………….. 8:27 pm

The Dry and Unseasonably Hot Weather Pattern Continues (We/27Jul2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 27 July 2022

Will Be Updated Shortly…

Contact me:
[email protected]
[email protected]

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

…. Elevated Heat Indices with Above Average Temps Continuing Over the Area ….

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Upper level high pressure, anchored east-to-west to our north stretching westward from the southeastern USA into the southwestern USA, is acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere. The upper level high pressure has weakened very slightly over the southern plains; however, little change is expected as a stable summer weather pattern continues. Abundant sunshine will continue through the remainder of the week and through the weekend with afternoon high temperatures staying at 100 degrees or slightly above – well above seasonal averages – with elevated heat indices.

(2) Over the next few days, this slightly weakening of the upper level high pressure will allow a surface cold front to move southward into the Red River country of southern Oklahoma and north and northwest Texas. The front will weaken and wash out by Saturday and return back northeastward with no effect locally.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting no rainfall over our area over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A very high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.

—-

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Wednesday / 27 July 2022

TODAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 102. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 102. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 103. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 102. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 102. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 102. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 103. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 03 August through Tuesday / 09 August 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (27 Jul)………………………………………….. 6:47 am
Sunset this evening (27 Jul)……………………………………………. 8:28 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (28 Jul)………………………………………………. 6:47 am
Sunset tomorrow (28 Jul)……………………………………………….. 8:27 pm