Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Thursday / 14 January 2021

  
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) I expect sunshine in general over the next couple of days with near average temperatures for today ahead of a dry, but stronger, cold front that will move southeastward through the area shortly. Expect gusty northwesterly wind in the wake of the front. After today, temperatures will be falling back to seasonal averages late week into the weekend.

(2) An approaching upper air low pressure disturbance will trigger the development of a slow moving surface low along the Texas coast late Monday into Wednesday with clouds and rain chances returning to our area.

(3) clouds and rain chances will finally move east of our area by late Wednesday into Thursday.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is forecasting around 1.00″ for the IH35 corridor.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to Very High Confidence through Monday Night..
Medium Confidence Tuesday into Wednesday..

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Thursday Morning / 14 January 2021

TODAY…. Mostly sunny as a cold front passes midday. High 63. Westerly wind 4 to 8 mph shifting north northwesterly 10 to 20 mph and gusty in the afternoon.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear and breezy. Low 38. North northwesterly 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts early diminishing late.

FRIDAY…. Sunny. High 59. North northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 34. West northwesterly wind diminishing to 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Sunny. High 63. Northwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light by afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 37. Light wind.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 58. Light wind becoming more westerly by afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 38. Light west southwesterly wind.

MONDAY /MLK DAY/…. Partly cloudy. High 65. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Thickening clouds with a few sprinkles and rain showers developing. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. Low 49. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 50%chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 0.25″. High 65. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat as a weak cold front passes.  A 50%chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 0.25″. Low 47. Southerly wind becoming north northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rain chances decreasing by afternoon. A 40%chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 0.25″. High 60. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Thursday / 21 January 2021 through Wednesday / 27 January 2021…
Temperatures… Above Average    
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (14 January)…………………………………. 7:28 am
Sunset this evening (14 January)…………………………………… 5:52 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (15 January)……………………………………… 7:28 am
Sunset tomorrow (15 January)………………………………………. 5:53 pm