Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Thursday / 11 November 2021

  
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Threats Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A trough, or line, of upper air low pressure has crossed the central plains states with a resulting cold frontal passage locally in the pre dawn hours this morning.

(2) A dry and stable fall weather pattern is expected with plenty of sunshine through the remainder of the week and into the weekend. Temperatures will be near to slightly below seasonal averages.

(3) Another dry cold front will progress north to south into our area late Sunday night into early Monday morning basically allowing for a reinforcement of the air mass in place over the area.

(4) Our next chance of increased clouds and rain comes late Wednesday into next Thursday (just ouside of the seven day forecast period) as another low pressure area and cold front moves through the area. This will be highly depending on how efficient moisture return is in advance of the front the middle part of next week.. this is something I am not highly confident of at this point.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting little in the way of precipitation for our area over the next seven days.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Very high confidence through Tuesday.. medium confidence Wednesday into Thursday.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Thursday / 11 November 2021

TODAY /VETERANS DAY/ …. Sunshine. High 75. Northerly wind 8 to 18 mph with some higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear and cooler. Low 48. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light late.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 76. Light wind becoming northerly wind 5 to 10 mph by afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 44. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 70. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light in the afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 48. Light south southeasterly wind.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 76. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming more southwesterly by afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear as a cold front passes after midnight. Low 53. Light wind shifting northerly 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Sunshine. High 77. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light by afternoon.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 56. Light wind.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny and warmer. High 81. Light wind becoming southerly 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 62. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 83. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Thursday / 18 November 2021 through Wednesday / 24 November 2021…
Temperatures… Slightly Above Average  
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (11 November)……………………………………. 6:53 am
Sunset this evening (11 November)……………………………………… 5:36 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (12 November)………………………………………… 6:54 am
Sunset tomorrow (12 November)…………………………………………. 5:36 pm