Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 01 October 2021
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… Any Thunderstorms Will Be Accompanied by Lightning Threat …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) As the second in a series of slow moving upper air disturbance continues to approach from the west, an unsettled weather pattern continues. Low level moisture is combining with atmospheric instability and the approaching atmospheric lift to increase the likelihood of rain showers and thunderstorms continuing through the remainder of the week and into the weekend.
(2) With the passage of the upper air disturbance, a surface cold front, rather weak in nature, will pass southeastward through the area by Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening. Drier and slightly cooler air will advance into the area with sunshine and pleasant early fall weather for Sunday and through most of next week.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is predicting 0.25 to 0.50 inch of rainfall.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to Very High confidence through Thursday.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Friday / 01 October 2021
TODAY…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 20%chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25 inch. High 85. Light wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.
TONIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms developing after midnight with an associated lightning threat. Given a 30% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 70. Light southeasterly wind.
SATURDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 50% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25 inch. High 87. Light wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms before 8pm then widely scattered until midnight with an associated lightning threat. Given a 50% chance of rain early decreasing to 20% by midnight, where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 70. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light late.
SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny as a weak cold front passes. High 89. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming north northwesterly by afternoon.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear and a little cooler. Low 66. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph.
MONDAY…. Mostly sunny and less humid. High 86. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 62. Light north northeasterly wind.
TUESDAY…. Sunshine. High 87. Light north northeasterly wind.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 61. Light wind.
WEDNESDAY…. Sunshine. High 86. Light wind becoming south southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 63. Light southeasterly wind.
THURSDAY…. Sunshine. High 88. Light south southeasterly wind.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 65. Light southeasterly wind.
FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 88. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Saturday / 09 October 2021 through Friday / 15 October 2021…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (01 October)……………………………………….. 7:24 am
Sunset this evening (01 October)…………………………………………. 7:17 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (02 October)……………………………………………. 7:25 am
Sunset tomorrow (02 October)…………………………………………….. 7:15 pm