Updated 915am CT – Thursday / 18 October 2018
… Little Change with Clouds and Rain Chances Continuing …
… Below Average Temperatures Continue as Well …
On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a cold front extends southwestward from the western Atlantic Ocean across northern Florida into a surface low over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico then southward through the western Gulf of Mexico. High pressure, north of the front, is centered from southeastern Iowa/western Illinois/northeastern Missouri southwestward into northwest Texas. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are northerly.
On the upper air map… a deep trough, or line, of upper level low pressure is located from the northern plains states into the southwestern USA with the lowest pressures centered over Utah. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are southwesterly around 35 mph.
What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…
The cooler surface air.. only several thousand feet thick.. continues to be overridden by low, mid and high level moisture resulting in a chilly, cloudy and wet weather pattern. Passing upper air disturbances, being ejected by the counterclockwise rotating upper level low over Utah, result in rain chances over the next couple of days before a slightly drier weather pattern develops by late in the weekend into early next week.
Another upper level storm system will result in renewed chance of rain by the middle into latter part of next week.
With clouds in place, temperatures will continue to be below seasonal averages.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance suggests an average of 1 to 2 inches of rain for our local area over the next seven day period with isolated heavier totals possible especially to the northwest of the area.
Have a good Wednesday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
Follow me:
@troykimmelwx (Twitter)
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel (Facebook)
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Updated 845am CT… Thursday / 18 October 2018
TODAY…. Cloudy with rain and rain showers likely. A 70% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 to 3/4 inch. High 60. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
TONIGHT…. Cloudy with numerous rain and rain showers. A 70% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. Low 55. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
FRIDAY…. Cloudy with scattered to numerous rain and rain showers. A 60% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 62. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain and rain showers. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 57. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY…. Cloudy with scattered rain and rain showers. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. High 67. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with a few drops of rain. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 56. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SUNDAY…. Becoming partly to mostly cloudy. High 69. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 53. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY…. Cloudy with a few drops of rain. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. High 68. East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph
MONDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain and rain showers. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. Low 52. Light easterly wind.
TUESDAY…. Cloudy with scattered rain and rain showers. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. High 67. Easterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain and rain showers. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 54. Easterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Cloudy with rain and rain showers likely. A 70% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch. High 68. Easterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 25 October 2018 through Wednesday / 31 October 2018…
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (18Oct)………………………………………. 7:35 am
Sunset this evening (18Oct)………………………………………… 6:56 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (19Oct)…………………………………………… 7:36 am
Sunset tomorrow (19Oct)……………………………………………. 6:55 pm