Updated 915am CT – Friday / 05 October 2018
… More Clouds and Better Rain Chances On The Way …
On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a weakening cold front extends southwestward from the Missouri bootheel into Arkansas and south central Oklahoma into west Texas and central New Mexico then stretching northward into Colorado. Surface high pressure is situated from the Carolinas eastward over the western Atlantic Ocean. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are south southeasterly.
On the upper air map… a eastward moving trough, or line, of upper level low pressure is located from western Canada southwestward into California. An upper level high is over northern Mexico.. Texas and eastward over the southeastern USA. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are light.
What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…
As the upper air low over the western USA moves eastward, rain chances will show up again in our forecast beginning later today and continuing through the weekend well into next week. NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance has increased upwards of 1 to 2 inches, on average, over the next seven days with isolated heavier amounts.
I do not see any cold frontal passages over the next seven day period; however, longer range guidance suggests a cold front into Texas by the latter part of next week into the following weekend.
Forecasters at the NWS/National Hurricane Center are watching a northwestward moving disturbance over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the eastern Yucatan Peninsula. It’s too early to know what the system will go and what may become if it, but forecasters do indicate the increased possibility of tropical development over the next few days. I’ll continue to keep an eye on the system.
Have a good Friday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
Follow me:
@troykimmelwx (Twitter)
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel (Facebook)
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Updated 845am CT… Friday / 05 October 2018
TODAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with isolated late afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. High 90. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy with isolated evening rain showers and thunderstorms. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. High 87. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 40% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. High 88. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
MONDAY /COLUMBUS DAY/…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 40% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. High 86. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TUESDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 40% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch. High 85. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 40% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch. High 85. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
THURSDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 40% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch. High 85. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 12 October 2018 through Thursday / 18 October 2018…
Temperatures… Near to Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (05Oct)………………………………………. 7:27 am
Sunset this evening (05Oct)………………………………………… 7:11 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (06Oct)…………………………………………… 7:28 am
Sunset tomorrow (06Oct)……………………………………………. 7:10 pm