Updated 915am CT – Thursday / 09 August 2018
… Rain Chances Continue For Late Week into the Weekend …
… A Dry and More Stable Weather Pattern for Much of Next Week …
On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a weak cold front extends southwestward from a low over the Missouri bootheel through central Arkansas into northeast Texas into a surface low near Abilene, TX then into southwestern Texas and then northward into south central New Mexico. Surface high pressure is located to our east over the southeastern USA with another high north of the front over the Rockies. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are southerly.
On the upper air map… an upper level low pressure area extends southward from Hudson Bay into the eastern half of the USA as upper level high pressure settles back westward over Nevada. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are northeasterly about 10 mph.
What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…
Our atmosphere will grow a bit more unstable as an upper disturbance in the Rockies and plains is expected to drop southward into Texas by tomorrow into this coming weekend. As a result, widely scattered to scattered rain showers and thunderstorms are expected for the Austin metro area and the IH35 corridor. Heaviest and most widespread rains are expected to remain to our distant northwest through north. The lightning risk will be an issue where ever thunderstorms develop. The latest guidance, having continued to trend downward, is now suggesting an average 1/2 to 1 inch of rainfall over the next seven day period.
Along with increased cloud coverage and the reduced rain and thunderstorm chances, temperatures will be near for late week into the weekend.
A drier and more stable weather develops once again, with rain chances dropping from the forecast, beginning Monday and continuing for much of next week.
Have a good Thursday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
Follow me:
@troykimmelwx (Twitter)
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel (Facebook)
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Updated 845am CT… Thursday / 09 August 2018
TODAY…. Partly cloudy with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk by late afternoon. A 10% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 of an inch. High 100. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 of an inch or less. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 98. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 of an inch or less. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 97. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 of an inch or less. Low 74. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 95. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 74. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.
MONDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 75. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TUESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 99. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. A few clouds. Low 75. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 99. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 16 August 2018 through Wednesday / 22 August 2018…
Temperatures… Near Average
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (09Aug)………………………………………. 6:54 am
Sunset this evening (09Aug)………………………………………… 8:18 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (10Aug)…………………………………………… 6:55 am
Sunset tomorrow (10Aug)……………………………………………. 8:17 pm