Austin / Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Statement #1
Prepared by UT University/Incident Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
910am CT – Wednesday / 22 April 2015

….”Slight” Risk of Severe Thunderstorms For Our Local Area Today..
Continued Threat Thursday and Friday ….

With our return south southeasterly surface wind, we’re seeing low level moisture
continuing to increase across the area. We’re also seeing a moderate westerly
upper level winds are bringing some mid and high level Pacific moisture.. in the
form of mid and high clouds.. to our local area.

A series of weak cold fronts will approach the area from the north by tomorrow
through the latter part of the week. Even though I don’t see the fronts making
their way this far south through the end of the week, beginning today, we’ll be
seeing the influence of passing upper air disturbances from the counter
clockwise rotating system over southern California. This resultant increased
upward motion in the atmosphere along with a more moist and unstable air
mass will bring us increased clouds as well as rain and thunderstorms chances
beginning today and continuing through the remainder of the week.

The latest NWS/Storm Prediction Center guidance suggests the possibility of
stronger.. potentially severe.. thunderstorms for parts of Texas (including parts
of our local area) for today through Thursday and Friday.

In addition, the latest NWS rainfall forecast guidance now shows the potential
of 3/4 to 1 1/2 inch of rain between now and Saturday.

I’m continuing to monitor.. tk