Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

A Drier and More Stable Weather Pattern and Watching Cristobal (Wed/03Jun2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 03 June 2020 ….

      
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

.. A Mostly Quiet and Stable Weather Pattern ..

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES…

.. A Mostly Quiet and Stable Weather Pattern ..
.. Tropical Cyclone Threat for Louisiana by Late in the Weekend ..

(1) Upper level high pressure, acting like a “lid” of the atmosphere, will result in a drier and more stable late spring/early summer weather pattern through the balance of the week and into the weekend. Even with very isolated afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms possible today, I have gone ahead and removed rain chances from the forecast locally as temperatures warm with afternoon highs approaching 100 by the weekend and even warmer by early next week.

(2) I continue to monitor the latest NWS/National Hurricane Center guidance regarding the tropical cyclone, tropical storm Cristobal, over the Bay of Campeche. The latest guidance suggests the system will continue to meander near the coastline of Mexico before turning back northward by tomorrow into tomorrow night making its way into the central Gulf of Mexico by the weekend. While the forecast confidence is still low, it looks like the center of the tropical system will make landfall on the south central Louisiana coast in the predawn hours Monday. With the system well to our east, we’ll remain on the dry side of the system with no precipitation expected. There’s still uncertainty with this system so stay up to date with the latest information and remember to disregard “click bait” social media entries of what one atmospheric computer model / model guidance spaghetti plot says. You should really only trust information from the NWS/National Hurricane Center and local NWS offices.  

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Wednesday / 03 June 2020

TODAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 91. Light wind early becoming south southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 71. Light southeasterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 92. Light south southeasterly wind.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 72. Light southeasterly wind.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine and warmer. High 96. Light east southeasterly wind.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 73. Light east southeasterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 98. Light easterly wind.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 74. Light easterly wind.

SUNDAY….  Sunshine. High 99. Easterly wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 75. Light easterly wind.

MONDAY…. Sunshine. High 101. East northeasterly wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 73. Light northeasterly wind.

TUESDAY…. Sunshine. High 102. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK          
Valid Wednesday / 10 June 2020 through Tuesday / 16 June 2020…
Temperatures… Above Average   
Precipitation… Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (03 June)………………………………….. 6:29 am
Sunset this evening (03 June)……………………………………. 8:29 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (04 June)………………………………………. 6:29 am
Sunset tomorrow (04 June)……………………………………….. 8:30 pm