Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Friday / 19 October 2018 Update….

Updated 915am CT – Friday / 19 October 2018

… Little Change with Clouds and Rain Chances Continuing …
… Below Average Temperatures Continue as Well …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… a cold front extends southwestward from the southwestern Atlantic Ocean across central Florida into a surface low over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico then southward through the western Gulf of Mexico. High pressure, north of the front, is centered from Virginia to northern Arkansas. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are north northeasterly.

On the upper air map… a deep trough, or line, of upper level low pressure is located from Hudson Bay into the southwestern USA with the lowest pressures centered over southern California. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are southwesterly 30 to 35 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

The cooler surface based air.. only several thousand feet thick.. continues to be overridden by low, mid and high level moisture resulting in a cloudy and wet weather pattern. Passing upper air disturbances, being ejected by the counterclockwise rotating upper level low over Utah, result in rain chances over the next day or so before a brief slightly drier weather pattern develops by late in the weekend.

Another upper level storm system will result in renewed chance of rain by the early to middle and latter part of next week.

With clouds in place, temperatures will continue to be below seasonal averages.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance suggests an average of 1 to 2 inches of rain for our local area over the next seven day period with isolated heavier totals possible especially to the northwest of the area.

Have a good Friday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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@troykimmelwx (Twitter)
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Updated 845am CT… Friday / 19 October 2018

TODAY…. Cloudy with numerous rain and rain showers. A 70% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. High 63. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Cloudy with numerous rain and rain showers. A 70% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 57. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Cloudy with scattered rain and rain showers. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. High 67. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with a few drops of rain. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 56. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY…. Becoming partly to mostly cloudy. High 69. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles developing. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 57. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Cloudy with scattered rain and rain showers. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. High 68. East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph

MONDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain and rain showers. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch. Low 53. Light easterly wind.

TUESDAY…. Cloudy with scattered to numerous rain and rain showers. A 60% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. High 67. Easterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered to numerous rain and rain showers. A 60% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 56. Easterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Cloudy with scattered to numerous rain and rain showers. A 60% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch. High 68. Easterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain and rain showers. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 56. Easterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY…. Cloudy with scattered rain and rain showers. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 70. Easterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 26 October 2018 through Thursday / 01 November 2018…
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (19Oct)………………………………………. 7:36 am
Sunset this evening (19Oct)………………………………………… 6:55 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (20Oct)…………………………………………… 7:37 am
Sunset tomorrow (20Oct)……………………………………………. 6:54 pm