Updated 915am CT – Thursday / 27 September 2018
… A Little Cooler Temperatures In the Wake of Yesterday’s Cold Front …
… Warmer with Lower Rain Chances Lingering Late Week Through the Weekend …
On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… A cold front extends southwestward from a surface low around Natchez, MS into southwestern Louisiana then into the northwestern Gulf of Mexico then back ashore in Texas just north of Brownsville TX then westward into northeastern Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are northerly.
On the upper air map… a deep trough, or line, of upper level low pressure is moving slowly eastward from western parts of Hudson Bay in Canada southward into the eastern plains and east Texas. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are westerly 50 to 60 mph.
What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…
As the upper level low pressure trough, over the eastern plains states, continues to move eastward toward the Mississippi Valley, it has allowed for the surface cold front to progress south southeastward through Texas. The front will weaken over the next 24 hours over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Temperatures will be a bit cooler today and tonight before a warming trend returns with an increase in cloud cover again tomorrow into the weekend.
I’ll be keeping a partly to mostly cloudy sky with rain chances returning to the forecast by late tomorrow and continuing through our upcoming weekend and into next week.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center estimates that we’ll see, on average, around 1/2 inch of rain during the next seven day period with isolated heavier totals.
Have a good Thursday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
Follow me:
@troykimmelwx (Twitter)
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel (Facebook)
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Updated 845am CT…Thursday / 27 September 2018
TODAY…. Partly cloudy and a bit cooler. High 78. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 65. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light.
FRIDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 84. Light winds becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 70. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch or less. High 83. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 71. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch or less. High 84. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 71. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
MONDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch or less. High 84. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TUESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch or less. High 84. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch or less. High 84. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 04 October 2018 through Wednesday / 10 October 2018…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (27Sep)………………………………………. 7:22 am
Sunset this evening (27Sep)………………………………………… 7:21 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (28Sep)…………………………………………… 7:23 am
Sunset tomorrow (28Sep)……………………………………………. 7:20 pm