Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Tuesday / 25 September 2018 Update….

Updated 915am CT – Tuesday / 25 September 2018

… Clouds Linger and Warmer Temps Today …
… A Cold Front with Rain and Thunderstorms Tomorrow …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… A cold front extends south southwestward from a surface low over southwestern Kansas into the Texas panhandle and northern New Mexico. A trough, or line, of low pressure extends southwestward from the southwestern Kansas low into west Texas. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are light and variable.

On the upper air map… a deepening trough, or line, of upper level low pressure is moving slowly eastward from just west of Hudson Bay in Canada southward into the western plains and eastern Rockies. Upper air high pressure, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, is centered over the southeastern USA and western Atlantic Ocean. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are west southwesterly 15 to 20 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

Morning low clouds will break today with temperatures being warmer as a result of the increased sunshine.

By late tonight into tomorrow, the upper level low pressure trough, over the western plains, will move eastward through the plains states toward the Mississippi Valley and that will allow for a surface cold front to progress south southeastward through Texas. The front will arrive in the Austin and IH35 corridor by tomorrow morning into midday with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms expected. The front will wash out in the coastal plains to our southeast by tomorrow night into Thursday with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms expected to linger over our area.

As the front washes out, I’ll be keeping a partly to mostly cloudy sky with rain chances lingering over the area late week through our upcoming weekend.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center estimates that we’ll see, on average, 1 inch of rain during the next seven day period with isolated heavier totals.

Have a good Tuesday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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Updated 845am CT… Monday / 24 September 2018

TODAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 91. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk mainly after midnight. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/10th inch. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk as a weak cold front moves through the area. A 60% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch. High 86. Light south southeasterly wind becoming northeasterly 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch. Low 67. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. High 82. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 68. Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch or less. High 84. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 70. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch or less. High 84. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 71. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch or less. High 84. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 71. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch or less. High 84. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 02 October 2018 through Monday / 08 October 2018…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (25Sep)………………………………………. 7:21 am
Sunset this evening (25Sep)………………………………………… 7:23 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (26Sep)…………………………………………… 7:22 am
Sunset tomorrow (26Sep)……………………………………………. 7:22 pm