Updated 915am CT – Thursday / 16 August 2018
… A Dry and More Stable Weather Pattern Continues …
… A Weakening Cold Front Moves into Texas by Late Monday into Tuesday …
On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a stationary front extends southwestward from central Missouri into central Oklahoma and southwestward into southwestern Oklahoma and then the Texas south plains into eastern New Mexico. Surface high pressure is located to our east over central and southern Mississippi. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are southerly.
On the upper air map… an upper level low pressure area is over eastern South Dakota with a ridge, or line, of upper level high pressure, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, becomes reestablished over the southwestern.. south central and southeastern USA. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are northeasterly 15 to 20 mph.
What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…
Upper level high pressure continues to build over our area resulting in a drier and more stable weather pattern.
With the increased sunshine/less in the way of clouds, afternoon high temperatures will continue to be slightly above seasonal averages.
By next Monday night into Tuesday, as a weakening cold front moves deeper into Texas and approaches Austin, we’ll see rain and thunderstorm chances return to the forecast as the instability and lift in the atmosphere increases. Rainfall, at this point, for the period, looks to average 1/4 inch or less.
Have a good Thursday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
Follow me:
@troykimmelwx (Twitter)
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel (Facebook)
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Updated 845am CT… Thursday / 16 August 2018
TODAY…. Mostly sunny. High 100. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 76. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 100. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 76. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 100. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 76. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 100. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 76. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 101. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early.. low clouds late. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms after midnight with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain at any given location; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY…. Morning low clouds, otherwise partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain at any given location; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 95. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 74. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 96. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 23 August 2018 through Wednesday / 29 August 2018…
Temperatures… Near Average
Precipitation… Near Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (16Aug)………………………………………. 6:59 am
Sunset this evening (16Aug)………………………………………… 8:19 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (17Aug)…………………………………………… 6:59 am
Sunset tomorrow (17Aug)……………………………………………. 8:10 pm