Updated 915am CT – Friday / 10 August 2018
… Rain Chances Continue For Late Week into the Weekend …
… A Dry and More Stable Weather Pattern for Much of Next Week …
On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a weak stationary front extends west southwestward from western Kentucky and the Missouri bootheel into central Arkansas into a weak surface low pressure area over north central Texas then continuing into far west Texas near El Paso. Surface high pressure is located to our east over the southeastern USA with another high north of the front over the Rockies. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are southerly.
On the upper air map… an upper level low pressure area extends southward from Hudson Bay into the eastern half of the USA as upper level high pressure settles back westward over Nevada and Utah. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are northwesterly 10 to 20 mph.
What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…
Our atmosphere is growing more unstable as an upper disturbance in the Rockies and plains drops southward into Texas over the next couple of days. Combining with the weak surface front, to our north, along with available moisture will result in scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms for the Austin metro area and the IH35 corridor and especially in areas to our west and northwest. Heaviest and most widespread rains in the hill country areas could produce 4 to 6 inch rainfall amounts while rainfall will average around 1 inch in the Austin metro area and the IH35 corridor between now and Monday. The lightning risk will be an issue where ever thunderstorms develop. Persons with outdoor plans today and through the weekend should be “weather aware” and be ready to seek safe shelter if thunderstorms approach or if they develop overhead.
Along with increased cloud coverage and the reduced rain and thunderstorm chances, temperatures will be near or even slightly below seasonal averages for the weekend.
A drier and more stable weather develops once again, with rain chances dropping from the forecast, beginning Monday and continuing for much of next week.
Have a good Friday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
Follow me:
@troykimmelwx (Twitter)
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel (Facebook)
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Updated 845am CT… Friday/ 10 August 2018
TODAY…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 98. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph except strong and gusty around any thunderstorms.
TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 of an inch. Low 74. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph except strong and gusty around any thunderstorms.
SATURDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. High 94. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph except strong and gusty around any thunderstorms.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 60% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 to 1/2 of an inch. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph except strong and gusty around any thunderstorms.
SUNDAY…. Becoming partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 95. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph except strong and gusty around any thunderstorms.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 74. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.
MONDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 75. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TUESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 98. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. A few clouds. Low 75. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 98. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 75. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.
THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 98. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 17 August 2018 through Thursday / 23 August 2018…
Temperatures… Near Average
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (10Aug)………………………………………. 6:55 am
Sunset this evening (10Aug)………………………………………… 8:17 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (11Aug)…………………………………………… 6:56 am
Sunset tomorrow (11Aug)……………………………………………. 8:16 pm