Updated 915am CT – Wednesday / 08 August 2018
… Rain Chances Decrease A Bit For Late Week into the Weekend …
On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a stationary front extends southwestward from central Missouri into southeast Kansas and northwestern Oklahoma and into southeastern Colorado. Surface high pressure is located to our east over the southeastern USA. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are southerly.
On the upper air map… an upper level low pressure area is deepening from Hudson Bay into the eastern half of the USA as upper level high pressure settles back westward into the desert southwest. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are northerly about 15 mph.
What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…
A dry and stable weather pattern continues today. Afternoon high temperatures will continue to be slightly above seasonal averages.
While our atmosphere will grow more unstable and a disturbance in the Rockies and plains is expected to drop southward into Texas by later this week into this coming weekend, our rain and thunderstorm chances appear to be trending downward at least for the Austin metro area and the IH35 corridor. Heaviest and most widespread rains are now expected to remain to our distant northwest through north. The lightning risk will be an issue where ever thunderstorms develop. The latest guidance, having trended downward, is now suggesting an average 1/2 to 1 inch of rainfall over the next seven day period.
Along with increased cloud coverage and the reduced rain and thunderstorm chances, temperatures will be near for late week into the weekend.
Have a good Wednesday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
Follow me:
@troykimmelwx (Twitter)
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel (Facebook)
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Updated 845am CT… Wednesday / 08 August 2018
TODAY…. Mostly sunny. High 100. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
TONIGHT…. Mostly clear early becoming mostly cloudy late. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
THURSDAY…. Becoming partly cloudy with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk by late afternoon. A 10% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 of an inch. High 99. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 of an inch or less. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
FRIDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 of an inch or less. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 96. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 of an inch or less. Low 74. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 95. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 74. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 96. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 74. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 96. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 15 August 2018 through Tuesday / 21 August 2018…
Temperatures… Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Near Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (08Aug)………………………………………. 6:54 am
Sunset this evening (08Aug)………………………………………… 8:19 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (09Aug)…………………………………………… 6:54 am
Sunset tomorrow (09Aug)……………………………………………. 8:18 pm