Updated 915am CT – Tuesday / 07 August 2018
… A Dry and Stable Weather Pattern Through Mid Week …
… Rain Chances Return to the Forecast by End of the Week into the Weekend …
On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a warm front extends southwestward from southeastern Nebraska into a surface low over western Kansas. From the surface low, a stationary front extends westward into southeastern Colorado. Surface high pressure is located to our east over the southeastern USA. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are south southeasterly.
On the upper air map… a broad area of eastward expanding upper air high pressure, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, is located from Oklahoma westward into Arizona. An upper level low pressure area is starting to deepen a bit from Hudson Bay into the eastern half of the USA. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are northeasterly about 20 to 25 mph.
What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…
A dry and stable weather pattern continues into mid week. Afternoon high temperatures will continue to be slightly above seasonal averages.
As the atmosphere grows more unstable and a disturbance in the Rockies and plains drops southward into Texas by late week into this coming weekend, higher rain and thunderstorm chances return to south central Texas with what appears to be a better chance of getting a good soaking for the area. Lightning risk will be an issue. The latest guidance suggests an average 1 inch of rainfall over the next seven day period with most of that being Thursday and Friday and beyond into next weekend.
Along with increased cloud coverage and better rain and thunderstorm chances, temperatures will be near to slightly below seasonal averages for late week into the weekend.
Have a good Tuesday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
Follow me:
@troykimmelwx (Twitter)
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel (Facebook)
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Updated 845am CT… Tuesday / 07 August 2018
TODAY…. Mostly sunny. High 98. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 99. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
THURSDAY…. Becoming partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 of an inch. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 of an inch. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
FRIDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch. High 95. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 of an inch. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch. High 94. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 of an inch. Low 74. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. High 94. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 74. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. High 96. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 14 August 2018 through Monday / 20 August 2018…
Temperatures… Near to Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Near Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (07Aug)………………………………………. 6:53 am
Sunset this evening (07Aug)………………………………………… 8:20 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (08Aug)…………………………………………… 6:54 am
Sunset tomorrow (08Aug)……………………………………………. 8:19 pm