Updated 915am CT – Monday / 04 June 2018
… Thunderstorm Complex Moves Overhead Northern Areas Overnight …
… Rain Chances Decrease After Today with Sunshine Returning …
On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a stationary front extends westward from the Mobile AL/New Orleans LA area to overhead of south central Texas then westward into far southwest/west Texas then into southwestern New Mexico. High pressure, to the north of the front, is centered over northwestern Arkansas and southwestern Missouri. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are light and variable.
On the upper air map… a trough, or line, of upper air low pressure extends southeastward from south of Hudson Bay into the northeastern USA. A trough, or line, of upper level low pressure area also extends south southwestward from offshore of British Columbia to offshore of the USA west coast. An upper air disturbance is situated from southern Kansas into Texas. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are fairly light southwesterly 10 to 15 mph.
What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…
Our southward moving cold front has pulled up stationary east-to-west just south of the Austin metro area. An upper air disturbance combine with the dissipating front as well as available low level moisture and instability to produce overnight rain shower and thunderstorm activity in the northern parts of south central Texas. There were considerable differences in rainfall amounts in relatively small areas; parts of northeastern Travis County around Pflugerville and hill country areas over southern Burnet county received between 5 to 6 inches of rain while southwestern Travis County received no rainfall.
The upper air disturbance, the front and instability will be hanging around today into tonight with a lingering chance of rain showers and thunderstorms.
Longer range forecast guidance suggests that the stationary front will wash out and then return back quickly northward as a warm front by tonight into tomorrow. In the wake of the upper air low pressure disturbance, upper level high pressure will strengthen again with a dry weather pattern for the middle and latter part of the week through the weekend.
Based upon the latest NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance, rainfall, over the next seven days, will average less than a tenth of an inch.
Have a good Monday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
Contact me:
[email protected]
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel
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Updated 845am CT… Monday / 04 June 2018
TODAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy and not as warm with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rain occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. High 93. Light wind becoming south southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by midday and afternoon.
TONIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms before 9pm with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rain occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TUESDAY…. Some brief morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 99. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 99. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 99. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 98. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 98. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 11 June 2018 through Sunday / 17 June 2018…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (04 Jun)………………………………………… 6:29 am
Sunset this evening (04 Jun)………………………………………….. 8:30 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (05 Jun)…………………………………………….. 6:29 am
Sunset tomorrow (05 Jun)……………………………………………… 8:30 pm