Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Updated 915am CT – Tuesday / 10 April 2018

… Sunshine Prevails as Temperatures Warm …
… Rain and Thunderstorm Chances Late Thursday into Friday and Friday Night …
… Clearing with Cooler Temperatures for the Weekend …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… a stationary front stretches from central Florida through the Gulf of Mexico into Mexico south of Brownsville then northwestward into northern Mexico into the southwestern parts of the USA. High pressure, north of the front, is centered from the central Rockies into the central plains states and into the western Mississippi Valley. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds are northerly.

On the upper air map… a trough, or line, of upper level low pressure extends southward from Hudson Bay over the eastern 2/3rds of the USA. A ridge, or line, of high pressure extends northward from the southwestern USA into central and western parts of Canada. As result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are westerly 60 to 65 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

A weak reinforcing cold front has moved through our area in the overnight hours.

Surface high pressure will prevail with plenty of sunshine with warming temperatures through tomorrow and Thursday.

By late week, a well developed upper level low pressure storm system and associated cold front will cross Texas with increased rain and thunderstorm chances. We’ll see the rain chances return to the forecast by late Thursday night and then peak Friday into Friday night as the system passes.

Abundant sunshine with cooler temperatures will prevail for our upcoming weekend.

Over the next seven days, NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance suggests rainfall locally will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch. The NWS/Storm Prediction Center has outlooked areas to our northeast over northeast Texas and the overall ArkLaTex region for the possibility of severe thunderstorms Friday into Friday night.

Have a good Tuesday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT… Tuesday / 10 April 2018

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 74. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Clear. Low 49. Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light late.

WEDNESDAY…. Sunshine and warmer. High 84. Light south southeasterly wind becoming southerly 8 to 15 mph and gusty by afternoon.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 61. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 86. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy. A few sprinkles possible after midnight. A 10% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 69. Southerly wind 10 to 20 mph with some higher gusts.

FRIDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 85. Southerly wind 10 to 20 mph with some higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk as a cold front passes around midnight. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. Clouds decreasing after midnight. Low 56. Southerly wind 10 to 20 mph with some higher gusts shifting north northwesterly by midnight.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine and cooler. High 71. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 44. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 74. Easterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeasterly by the afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 49. Light southeasterly wind.

MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 79. South southeasterly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 17 April 2018 through Monday / 23 April 2018…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (10 April)………………………………………. 7:09 am
Sunset this evening (10 April)………………………………………… 7:56 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (11 April)…………………………………………… 7:08 am
Sunset tomorrow (11 April)……………………………………………. 7:56 pm