Updated 915am CT – Friday / 02 February 2018
… Clouds Thicken into the Weekend with Slim Rain Chances …
… Another Cold Front Due Late Sunday and Again Tuesday Night …
On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… surface high pressure, in the wake is yesterday’s cold front, is centered over the northern and central Mississippi valley. The cold front has moved into the northwestern Gulf of Mexico and northeast Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds are north northeastward.
On the upper air map… a trough, or line, of low pressure extends from Hudson Bay southward into the southeastern USA. An upper level low pressure disturbance is off the west coast of the southern tip of the Baja Peninsula. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are westerly 55 to 65 mph.
What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…
Cooler air continues to settle southward over the area as the upper air low pressure disturbance, to our distant west, moves overhead. Clouds will continue to thicken and lower over the area with a few patches of rain developing tonight into tomorrow. Some patchy fog may develop overnight into tomorrow morning. Current short range high resolution model data and NWS guidance suggests that rainfall tonight into tomorrow will average less than 1/4 inch.
We’ll see a wind shift into the west by late Saturday night into Sunday morning which will dry out the atmosphere after sunrise Sunday. As a result, we’ll see unseasonably warm high temperatures on Sunday before another dry cold front arrives by Sunday night.
The latest guidance is suggesting increased cloud cover and even some slim precipitation probabilities by late on Monday into Tuesday in advance of another stronger cold front due Tuesday night.
Skies will partially clear Wednesday and Thursday as cooler air once again overtakes the area.
Have a good Friday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel
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Updated 845am CT… Friday / 02 February 2018
TODAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy. High 56. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles developing. Patchy fog developing after midnight. A 20% chance of rain. Rainfall, where it occurs, will average trace amounts. Low 43. Light east northeasterly wind becoming more southeasterly after midnight.
SATURDAY…. Patchy morning fog. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. A 30% chance of rain. Where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. High 64. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few rain showers before 8pm. Patchy fog developing after midnight. A 20% chance of rain. Where rainfall occurs, it will average only a few hundredths of an inch. Low 49. Southeasterly winds 4 to 8 mph shifting light westerly after midnight.
SUNDAY…. Patchy morning fog. Mostly sunny and less humid. Unseasonably warm. High 79. Light westerly wind becoming east southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear as a cold front passes late. Low 47. Easterly wind shifting north northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph after midnight.
MONDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 69. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southeasterly by afternoon.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy. Widely scattered rain showers. Patchy drizzle and fog developing after midnight. A 20% chance of rain; where rain occurs, it will average less than 1/10th inch. Low 55. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY…. Mostly cloudy and warmer with widely scattered rain showers. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. High 75. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers as a cold front passes by 9pm. Decreasing clouds becoming partly cloudy and cooler late. A 20% chance of rain early; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/10th inch or less. Low 45. South southwesterly wind early shifting north northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny and cooler. High 60. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 38. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 63. East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph early becoming more southeasterly by afternoon.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 09 February 2018 through Thursday / 15 February 2018…
Temperature… Near Average
Precipitation… Slightly Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (02 February)………………………………….. 7:21 am
Sunset this evening (02 February)……………………………………. 6:09 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (03 February)………………………………………. 7:20 am
Sunset tomorrow (03 February)……………………………………….. 6:10 pm