Updated 915am CT – Thursday / 01 February 2018
… Warmer Temperatures Today Before Another Cold Front Moves Through …
… Clouds Increase Tomorrow into the Weekend with Slim Rain Chances …
… Another Cold Front Due Saturday Night …
On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… surface high pressure is centered over the southeastern USA with a south southeastward moving cold front extending southwestward from northwestern Arkansas into southeastern Oklahoma and north Texas then into west Texas and northeastern New Mexico. A trough, or line, of surface low extends south southwestward from a low pressure area along the cold front over northwestern Texas. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds are south southwestward.
On the upper air map… a deepening trough, or line, of low pressure covers the USA. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are westerly 60 to 65 mph.
What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…
A cold front is poised to move south southeastward through Texas later today. Limited low level moisture and atmospheric instability and a rather stable air mass in advance of the front will preclude any rain chances at this point.
As cooler air settles southward over the area tonight into Friday and the weekend, a series of upper air low pressure disturbances will move overhead with increasing clouds. With that increase in clouds, we’ll see very slim rain chances (mainly sprinkles) tomorrow night into Saturday.
A second cold front will move into Texas and across the local area by late Saturday night. Clearing skies and cooler temperatures will prevail for the first part of next week.
The latest guidance is suggesting increased cloud cover and even some slim precipitation probabilities by Tuesday into Tuesday night as an upper air disturbance moves west to east well north of our local area.
Have a good Thursday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel
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Updated 845am CT… Thursday / 01 February 2018
TODAY…. Partly cloudy and much warmer ahead of a afternoon cold front. High 76. South southwesterly wind early shifting west northwesterly 8 to 15 mph by afternoon.
TONIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy and a bit cooler. Low 45. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
FRIDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy. High 56. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles developing. A 20% chance of rain. Rainfall, where it occurs, will average trace amounts. Low 45. Light northeasterly wind becoming more east southeasterly after midnight.
SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy with a few rain showers. A 20% chance of rain. Where rainfall occurs, it will average only a few hundredths of an inch. High 65. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few rain showers before 8pm. A 20% chance of rain. Where rainfall occurs, it will average only a few hundredths of an inch. Low 49. Southeasterly winds 4 to 8 mph shifting west northwesterly after midnight as a cold front passes.
SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny and less humid. High 68. West northwesterly early becoming more north northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 45. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 69. Northeasterly wind becoming south southeasterly 5 to 10 mph by afternoon.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy. Patchy drizzle and fog developing after midnight. A 20% chance of rain; where drizzle occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 54. Light southeasterly wind.
TUESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy and warmer with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms as a cold front passes in the afternoon. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 74. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming northwesterly in the afternoon.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy and cooler. Low 46. North northwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny and a bit cooler. High 64. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 08 February 2018 through Wednesday / 14 February 2018…
Temperature… Near Average
Precipitation… Near Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (01 February)………………………………….. 7:21 am
Sunset this evening (01 February)……………………………………. 6:08 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (02 February)………………………………………. 7:21 am
Sunset tomorrow (02 February)……………………………………….. 6:09 pm