Updated 915am CT – Tuesday / 03 October 2017
.. Better Rain Chances Through Early Thursday ..
.. More Sunshine Late Week through the Weekend ..
.. Stronger Cold Front By Early Next Week ..
On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… surface high pressure is over Maine and the extreme northeastern USA. A surface low is over northwestern Iowa with an attached southeastward moving cold front that runs southwestward into eastern Nebraska and central and western Kansas then westward along the Colorado/New Mexico border. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds across south central Texas are easterly.
Upper air map… upper level high pressure extends eastward from Texas into the eastern USA. A deep broad trough, or line, of upper level low pressure extends from south and western Canada over the western half of the USA with one disturbance within the counterclockwise flow around this low over northwestern North Dakota (moving northeastward) with another stronger upper level disturbance (moving southeastward) over northern California. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our area are west southwesterly about 25 mph.
What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…
A slug of moisture, marked with clouds and scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, over the northern and western Gulf of Mexico is moving ashore onto the Texas coast on this Tuesday. Clouds have thickened with rain and thunderstorm chances continuing through tomorrow before decreasing by tomorrow night and into early Thursday. The latest National Weather Service rainfall guidance suggests that most areas will end up seeing 1/4 to 1/2 inch of rain with isolated heavier totals.
A drier and more stable weather pattern will once again take hold by Thursday into Friday and over the upcoming weekend.
Initial guidance suggests a stronger cold front for Texas by next Tuesday morning with much cooler temperatures following its passage through the area. As it moves through the area, scattered rain showers and thunderstorms are possible.
Have a good Tuesday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel
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Updated 845am CT.. Tuesday / 03 October 2017
TODAY…. Cloudy with rain showers and a few thunderstorms likely by midday with an associated lightning risk. Rain chances increasing to 60% by afternoon; rainfall, where it occurs at any given location, will average 1/4 inch. High 85. Easterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TONIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs at any given location, will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 73. East southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs at any given location, will average 1/4 inch or less. High 84. Easterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs at any given location, will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 70. Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
THURSDAY…. A few morning sprinkles possible. A 10% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs at any given location, will average trace amounts. Partly cloudy. High 84. Easterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 67. Light east southeasterly wind.
FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 85. Light south southeasterly wind.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 67. Light southeasterly wind.
SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 86. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 67. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 87. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 69. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
MONDAY /COLUMBUS DAY/…. Becoming partly cloudy. High 87. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 10 October 2017 through Monday / 16 October 2017…
Temperature… Below Average
Precipitation… Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (03 October)………………………………….. 7:26 am
Sunset this evening (03 October)……………………………………. 7:13 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (04 October)………………………………………. 7:26 am
Sunset tomorrow (04 October)……………………………………….. 7:12 pm