Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Updated 915am CT – Thursday / 21 September 2017

.. Slim Rain Chances Today ..
.. Dry Weather Pattern for the Weekend ..
.. Better Rain and Thunderstorm Chances Next Week with Cold Front ..

On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a surface high pressure is over the southeastern USA and the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. A trough, or line, of low pressure extends southwestward from the front over northwest Texas panhandle to southern New Mexico and far southwest Texas. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds across south central Texas are southerly.

Upper air map… a broad area of low pressure extends southward from south central and southwestern Canada into north central and northwestern parts of the USA. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our area are westerly 15 to 25 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

A weak atmospheric disturbance will trigger widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms today mainly in areas east of the IH35 corridor.

An otherwise dry stable weather pattern with slightly above average afternoon high temperatures will persist through the weekend.

By early next week, as our atmosphere becomes a little more unstable, cloudiness will increase a bit with rain chances increasing with afternoon high temperatures settling below seasonal levels. A southeastward moving cold front will increase even further the rain chances by late Tuesday into Wednesday and Thursday. Temperatures will fall to slightly below seasonal averages by the middle to latter part of next week. At this point, any rainfall, where it occurs, over for the early into middle part of next week will average between one and two inches.

Have a good Thursday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT.. Thursday / 21 September 2017

TODAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. The chance of rain is 20%; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 94. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 93. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 92. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 71. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. The chance of rain at any given location is 20%; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 91. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. The chance of rain at any given location is 30%; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. High 89. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. The chance of rain at any given location is 20%; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 72. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. The chance of rain at any given location is 30%; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. High 88. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. The chance of rain at any given location is 30%; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. Low 72. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. The chance of rain at any given location is 50%; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch. High 87. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 28 September 2017 through Wednesday / 04 October 2017…
Temperature… Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (21 September)…………………………………… 7:19 am
Sunset this evening (21 September)……………………………………. 7:28 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (22 September)………………………………………. 7:19 am
Sunset tomorrow (22 September)……………………………………….. 7:27 pm