Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Updated 915am CT – Friday / 28 April 2017

.. A Stronger Cold Front with a Chance of Thunderstorms by Late Saturday ..
.. Cooler Temperatures Sunday into Monday ..

On this Friday… a northeastward moving warm front extends southeastward from a surface low pressure area over west central Texas through east Texas into Louisiana and southern Mississippi. A cold front extends from the low pressure area through west Texas and west central New Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds across south central Texas are southerly.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere, a deep trough.. or line of upper level low pressure.. extends southward from central and western Canada through the western 2/3rds of the USA. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over south central Texas are west southwesterly 55 to 65 mph.

Surface winds have returned back southerly with low level moisture quickly returning to the area.

As a dynamic area of upper air low pressure moves eastward through the southwestern USA into the southern and central plains by late tonight into tomorrow, a stronger area of surface low pressure and associated cold front will advance quickly into Texas. The cold front will pass through the local area late Saturday night. With abundant low level moisture in place along with instability and atmospheric lift accompanying the system, the latest guidance from the NWS/Storm Prediction Center suggests prefrontal thunderstorms over the area with stronger, potentially severe, thunderstorms mainly in areas to our north over north and east Texas and Oklahoma and areas eastward.

A drier.. more stable and a cooler air mass will move into Texas in the wake of the front for most of the day Sunday through Sunday night into early next week.

Another low pressure area and cold front will progress southeastward across the area late next Wednesday with another chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Slightly cooler and drier air will advance into the area again by Wednesday night into Thursday.

Have a good Friday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT.. Friday / 28 April 2017

TODAY…. Becoming partly cloudy. Unseasonably warm with a high of 92. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy early becoming cloudy late. Low 75. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch or less. High 89. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph with some higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 60% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch. Low 59. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.. winds becoming more southwesterly after midnight then northwesterly toward daybreak as a cold front passes.

SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms before 7am with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch or less. Clearing.. less humid and a little cooler after mid morning. High 75. Northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Clear and unseasonably cool. Low 50. North northwesterly 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Sunshine. High 80. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming more east northeasterly by afternoon.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 58. Light easterly wind.

TUESDAY…. Sunny and warmer. High 86. Southerly wind increasing to 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 67. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch. High 85. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk as a cold front passes. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch. Decreasing clouds after 2am. Low 59. Southwesterly wind shifting northwesterly 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 77. North northwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 05 May 2017 through Thursday / 11 May 2017…
Temperature… Near to Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (28 Apr)……………………………………………. 6:50 am
Sunset this evening (28 Apr)……………………………………………… 8:07 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (29 Apr)………………………………………………… 6:49 am
Sunset tomorrow (29 Apr)…………………………………………………. 8:08 pm