Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Updated 915am CT – Thursday / 13 April 2017

.. No Fronts or Air Mass Changes Seen Over the Seven Days Ahead..
.. Better Rain Chances with a Disturbance Early Next Week ..
.. Otherwise Isolated Rain Showers Possible Each Day ..

On this Thursday… a low pressure area is over southeastern Colorado. Surface high pressure is over the southeastern USA. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds across south central Texas are southeasterly.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere, a trough, or line, of low pressure is along and offshore of the west coast of the USA with another trough over the northeastern USA. A ridge, or line, of high pressure extends from central and eastern Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over south central Texas are southwesterly at 20 to 30 mph.

The front, along the Texas coast, has washed out with our surface winds having returned south southeasterly. The return south southeasterly winds has increased the low level moisture and will allow temperatures to climb a bit for the latter part of the week into the weekend.

While we will likely see some sunshine, clouds will continue over the coming days. With daytime heating along with weak disturbances traveling eastward overhead, we could see an on-and-off slim chance of rain showers and thunderstorms through the remainder of the week and through our Easter weekend and even into next week with the nest rain chances Monday into Monday night as a low pressure disturbance passes. I do not expect any frontal passages and air mass changes over the next seven days. As a result, temperatures will be close to or a bit above seasonal averages over the next seven days.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance suggests that, over the next seven days, we will see average rainfall amounts across south central Texas of 1/4 to 1/2 inch. At this point, other than the risk of dangerous lightning with any thunderstorm that develops, I do not see any risk of severe and/or inclement weather over the next seven days.

Have a good Thursday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT.. Thursday / 13 April 2017

TODAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with isolated rain showers. A 10% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/10th inch or less. High 81. South southeasterly wind increasing to 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 65. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with isolated rain showers. A 10% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/10th inch or less. High 83. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 66. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 84. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 66. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Some morning low clouds and drizzle.. otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/4 inch or less. High 85. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 66. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Some morning low clouds and drizzle.. otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/4 inch. High 83. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/4 inch. Low 66. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Some morning low clouds and drizzle.. otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/4 inch or less. High 84. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 67. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Some morning low clouds and drizzle.. otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/4 inch or less. High 84. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 20 April 2017 through Wednesday / 26 April 2017…
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (13 Apr)……………………………………………. 7:06 am
Sunset this evening (13 Apr)……………………………………………… 7:57 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (14 Apr)………………………………………………… 7:05 am
Sunset tomorrow (14 Apr)…………………………………………………. 7:58 pm