Updated 915am CT – Monday / 06 February 2017
… South Southwesterly Wind with Record Warmth Headed into Mid Week …
… Our Next Cold Front Passes Mid Day Wednesday …
… A Stronger Cold Front Due Mid Day Next Sunday …
On this Monday… a surface low pressure area is over southeastern Colorado with a northward moving warm front extending from the low into the northeastern Texas panhandle to along the Red River country of southern Oklahoma and Northern Texas then eastward into central Mississippi. As a result, our surface winds across south central Texas are southerly.
In the upper levels of the atmosphere.. the wind pattern continues to be rather zonal (generally west to east) with upper level low pressure areas centered east of Hudson Bay and off the west coast of British Columbia and northwestern Washington. Our upper level winds, at about 18,500 feet overhead, are westerly 10 to 20 mph.
The warm front, that passed northward through the area in the early afternoon hours on Sunday, has now passed well to our north with a moist maritime tropical air mass in place over our area.
As a result, warmer temperatures – along with abundant surface moisture – have returned. We’ll see some breaks in the overcast today but won’t see more widespread sunshine by tomorrow. A more pronounced southwesterly wind tomorrow into early Wednesday will allow for a rapid warmup with record highs expected in the area tomorrow.
Our next cold front is expected in the midday hours on Wednesday. This front will be fairly weak and, depending on when the front arrives, temperatures on Wednesday will still be well into the 80s. I do not expect any precipitation and little in the way of clouds as the front moves through the area.
Temperatures will cool a but for Wednesday night and Thursday into Friday when surface winds are expected to turn more southerly once again.
Clouds will increase a bit as low level moisture returns on the heels of the south southeasterly wind flow Friday night through Saturday and early Sunday.
The next cold front, this one a bit stronger, will move across the IH35 corridor midday next Sunday. Current indications are that we’ll see a few rain showers associated with the atmospheric lift ahead of and just along the front with clouds lingering and perhaps some rain chances continuing behind the front in association with a strong upper level low pressure storm system approaching Texas from the west. Temperatures, as a result of the expected clouds, will turn much cooler in the wake of the front.
Have a good Monday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel
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Updated 845am CT.. Monday / 06 February 2017
TODAY…. Patchy morning low clouds and fog.. otherwise mostly cloudy. A few sprinkles. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average trace amounts. High 77. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles. Patchy fog developing. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average trace amounts. Low 64. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY…. Patchy morning low clouds and fog.. otherwise partly cloudy with record warmth. High 89. Southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Patchy fog developing. Low 60. South southwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Partly cloudy in the morning becoming mostly sunny and less humid by afternoon as a weak cold front passes in the midday hours. High 85 around midday with temperatures near 80 in the afternoon hours. Southwesterly wind early becoming west northwesterly by midday and north northwest 8 to 15 by late afternoon.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Clear and cooler. Low 50. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
THURSDAY…. Sunshine. High 69. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northeasterly in the afternoon.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear and cooler. Low 50. Light easterly wind.
FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 75. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph by afternoon.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 58. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy and unseasonably warm. High 80. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 62. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy. Widely scattered rain showers as a cold front passes by midday. Rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/10th inch or less. Turning cooler in the afternoon. High 74 in the morning hours with temperatures falling through the 60s in the afternoon. South southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph shifting north northwesterly 8 to 18 mph by midday.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 13 February 2017 through Sunday / 19 February 2017…
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (06 Feb)……………………………………………. 7:18 am
Sunset this evening (06 Feb)……………………………………………… 6:12 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (07 Feb)………………………………………………… 7:17 am
Sunset tomorrow (07 Feb)…………………………………………………. 6:13 pm