Updated 915am CT – Friday / 03 February 2017
… Warmer Temperatures By Tomorrow as Warm Front Moves Northward …
… Unsettled Weather Pattern Continues into the Weekend …
… Another Cold Front Due Next Wednesday Afternoon …
On this Friday… a cold front extends westward from the Florida panhandle to around New Orleans then into the northwestern Gulf of Mexico into Mexico just south of Brownsville then northwest into the Texas Big Bend and New Mexico. High pressure, in the wake of the cold front, is centered over the Nebraska/South Dakota border. As a result, our surface winds across south central Texas are north northeasterly.
In the upper levels of the atmosphere.. the wind pattern continues more zonal (generally west to east) with upper level low pressure areas centered east of Hudson Bay and off the west coast of Oregon and Washington. Our upper level winds, at about 18,500 feet overhead, are west northwesterly 20 to 30 mph.
A cold front, that passed south of the area in the predawn hours yesterday, is located over the northwest Gulf of Mexico and northeastern Mexico. The surface wedge of cooler air that has moved into the area is only a little more than 3,000 feet deep with overrunning moisture coming up from the south and over the top of the colder air. By tonight into tomorrow, as the front lifts back northward as a warm front, clouds will continue with a few sprinkles and rain showers developing.
As a result, warmer temperatures will be returning over the weekend into next week with clouds breaking a bit as southerly surface winds increase.
Our next cold front is now not seen until we get into the middle part of next week. Current guidance suggests that the cold front will move through the area by afternoon next Wednesday. There will be a slim chance of rain showers and thunderstorms as the front moves through the area.
Overall, over the next seven days, I expect a generally dry weather pattern with any rainfall to average 1/4 inch or less.
Have a good Friday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel
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Updated 845am CT.. Friday / 3 February 2017
TODAY…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles. A 10% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average trace amounts. High 53. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with patchy fog developing. A few sprinkles. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average trace amounts. Low 47. Light east wind.
SATURDAY…. Patchy morning low clouds and fog. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers. A little warmer. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/10th inch or less. High 68. Easterly wind in the morning becoming south southeasterly and increasing to 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog developing. A few sprinkles. A 10% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average trace amounts. Low 58. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY…. Patchy morning low clouds and fog.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 76. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with patchy fog developing. Low 60. Light south southeasterly wind.
MONDAY…. Patchy morning low clouds and fog.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 77. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Patchy fog developing. Low 62. Light south southeasterly wind.
TUESDAY…. Patchy morning low clouds and fog.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 80. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Patchy fog developing. Low 65. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms as a cold front moves through in the morning hours. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch. Partial clearing.. less humid and cooler by mid and late afternoon. High 71. Southwesterly wind shifting northerly 8 to 15 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Clearing and cooler. Low 50. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
THURSDAY…. Sunshine. High 68. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 10 February 2017 through Thursday / 16 February 2017…
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (03 Feb)……………………………………………. 7:20 am
Sunset this evening (03 Feb)……………………………………………… 6:10 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (04 Feb)………………………………………………… 7:20 am
Sunset tomorrow (04 Feb)…………………………………………………. 6:11 pm