Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Updated 915am CT – Monday / 23 January 2017

… A Mostly Dry and Stable Weather Pattern Over the Next Week …
… A Cold Front with a Cooling Trend by Middle Part of the Week …

On this Monday… a strong surface low pressure system is over the Appalachians with a cold front extending southeastward into the southwest North Atlantic Ocean east of Florida. Surface high pressure, behind the front, extends southward from eastern Kansas into south Texas. To the northwest, a surface low pressure area is over eastern Colorado with a developing trough, or line, of surface low pressure extending southward into eastern New Mexico and far west Texas. As a result, our surface winds across south central Texas are light and variable.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere.. a deep upper level low pressure area is over the Carolinas with a deep trough, or line, of upper level low pressure extending southward across Florida. Another strong upper level low pressure area is over the eastern Pacific west of Oregon with a trough extending south southwestward off the est coast of the USA.
Our upper level winds, at about 18,500 feet overhead, are westerly at 55 to 65 mph.

In the wake of the passing upper level storm system and surface cold front late Saturday into the predawn hours yesterday, a mostly dry and stable weather pattern continues across our area with the surface high pressure overhead this morning.

By later today, as the surface high pressure area and its attendant clockwise wind flow moves eastward, our surface winds will return southerly. With abundant sunshine, our temperatures will warm a bit through tomorrow with a record high temperature (81F back in 2013) threatened at Austin City / Camp Mabry for tomorrow.

I expect our next cold front to pass through the area as the low pressure area out west moves through the area tomorrow night into the predawn hours Wednesday. Limited low level moisture return and a fairly stable air mass will preclude any rain chances as the front passes.

Cooler temperatures will prevail Wednesday through the upcoming weekend. Another very weak reinforcing cold front will pass the area late Friday into Saturday with only a few clouds present.

I do not expect any precipitation over the next seven days with temperatures, after the cold front tomorrow night, falling back to seasonal levels.

Have a good Monday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT.. Monday / 23 January 2017

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 74. Light wind becoming southerly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

TONIGHT…. A clear sky. Low 51. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 81. South southwesterly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy as a cold front passes after midnight. Low 47. Southwesterly wind shifting northwesterly 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny.. breezy and cooler. High 64. North northwesterly 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 38. Light northerly wind.

THURSDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 62. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 39. Light north northeasterly wind.

FRIDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 63. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 40. North northwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 63. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 37. Light northerly wind.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 64. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 30 January 2017 through Sunday / 05 February 2017…
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (23 Jan)……………………………………………. 7:26 am
Sunset this evening (23 Jan)……………………………………………… 5:59 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (24 Jan)………………………………………………… 7:26 am
Sunset tomorrow (24 Jan)…………………………………………………. 6:00 pm