Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Rain Chances As We Start the Week and Watching the Tropics (Mon/01Jun2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 01 June 2020 ….

      
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

.. Dangerous Lightning with any Thunderstorms Today into Tonight ..

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES…

.. Rain Showers and Thunderstorms Possible Over Next 24 Hours ..
.. Continuing to Monitor the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico ..

(1) An upper level low pressure area, currently located over southwest Texas, is resulting in scattered rain showers and thunderstorms over south Texas this morning and will result in scattered rain showers and thunderstorms today into tonight and tomorrow for our local area.

(2) An upper level high pressure, acting like a “lid” of the atmosphere, will result in a dry and stable late spring/early summer weather pattern beginning late tomorrow through the balance of the week and into the weekend. Rain chances will drop from the forecast locally as temperatures warm a bit.

(3) I continue to monitor the latest NWS/National Hurricane Center guidance regarding the likelihood of tropical cyclone development later this week into the weekend over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico and the adjoining Bay of Campeche. It’s too early to say where this system, if it develops, will end up. As a result, I’m not including any effects in the forecast locally at this time. In addition, please remember to disregard “click bait” social media entries of what one atmospheric computer model / model guidance spaghetti plot says. You should really only trust information from the NWS/National Hurricane Center and local NWS offices.  

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Monday / 01 June 2020

TODAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch. High 86. East southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph with winds gusty and variable around thunderstorms.

TONIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms mainly before 9pm with an associated lightning risk. A 20%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.10 inch. Low 69. East southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light overnight.

TUESDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25 inch. High 89. Light wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 70. Light southeasterly wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 91. Light wind early becoming south southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 71. Light southeasterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 92. Light south southeasterly wind.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 72. Light southeasterly wind.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine and warmer. High 96. Light east southeasterly wind.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 73. Light east southeasterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 97. Light easterly wind.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 74. Light easterly wind.

SUNDAY….  Sunshine. High 98. Easterly wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK          
Valid Monday / 08 June 2020 through Sunday / 14 June 2020…
Temperatures… Above Average   
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (01 June)………………………………….. 6:30 am
Sunset this evening (01 June)……………………………………. 8:28 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (02 June)………………………………………. 6:29 am
Sunset tomorrow (02 June)……………………………………….. 8:29 pm