Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 22 May 2020 ….

      
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

.. Lighting Risk with Any Widely Scattered Thunderstorms Today into Tonight ..

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES…

.. Flooding Risk Increases By Late in the Weekend into Next Week ..

(1) On the heels of an enhanced south southeasterly surface wind flow, our atmosphere is growing more moist and unstable as evidenced by some early morning rain showers and thunderstorms over the past two days as disturbances pass west-to-east over our area.

(2) As we make our way through the mid and latter part of the Memorial Day weekend, there will be increasing atmospheric lift and atmospheric instability with increasing rain shower and thunderstorm activity likely. Initially, rainfall amounts potentially result in localized flooding problems especially in urban/small stream areas and low water  crossings. 

(3) By Memorial Day into Tuesday and Wednesday, a eastward moving (and weakening) cold front will move into the IH35 corridor as it loses its upper air steering currents and pulls up stationary overhead of the IH35 corridor. As this occurs, it will cause additional atmospheric lift with rain showers and thunderstorms continuing. Periods of heavier rain appear quite likely with flash flooding and river/stream flooding becoming more of a hazard.

(4) In summary, the latest NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance suggests that the IH35 corridor and a fairly wide area from north Texas (Dallas/Ft Worth area) south southwestward to San Antonio and Laredo to Eagle Pass may see upwards of 4 to 6 inches of rain – isolated higher amounts are possible – over the next seven day period.

Remain weather aware and have at least three methods of getting weather information over the coming days. Keep in mind the National Weather Service slogan, “Turn Around and Don’t Drown,” as well. 

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Friday / 22 May 2020

TODAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy. High 92. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. High 91. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain early increasing to 40% after 10pm; rainfall, where it occurs, will average .25″ or less. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. Periods of heavier rain possible. A 60% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average .50″ to 1.00″. High 85. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. Periods of heavier rain possible with some flooding possible. A 70% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1.00″. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY /MEMORIAL DAY/…. Cloudy with numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. Periods of heavier rain possible with some flooding possible. A 70% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1.00″. High 82. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. Periods of heavier rain possible with some flooding possible. A 60% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1.00″. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Cloudy with numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. Periods of heavier rain possible with some flooding possible. A 70% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1.00″. High 82. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 0.50″. Low 69. Light south southeasterly wind becoming light and variable late.

WEDNESDAY…. Morning low clouds then becoming partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 0.50″. High 82. Light and variable wind.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 0.25″ or less. Low 68. Light and variable wind.

THURSDAY…. Morning low clouds then becoming partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. High 86. Light and variable wind early becoming south southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon .

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK          
Valid Friday / 29 May 2020 through Thursday / 04 June 2020…
Temperatures… Below Average   
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (22 May)………………………………….. 6:33 am
Sunset this evening (22 May)……………………………………. 8:22 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (23 May)………………………………………. 6:33 am
Sunset tomorrow (23 May)……………………………………….. 8:23 pm