Daily Archives
May 2, 2017

Troy’s Audio Weather Webcast for Friday / 19 May 2017….

by troyk | on May 02, 2017 | Comments Off

Please see my UT website for my a link to my latest audio webcast…

by troyk | on May 02, 2017 | Comments Off

Updated 915am CT – Tuesday / 02 May 2017

.. A Dry Stable Weather Pattern Continues ..
.. Another Cold Front with Stronger Thunderstorms Tomorrow ..
.. Clearing and a Bit Cooler Again Late Week ..

On this Tuesday… a northward developing warm front extends from west Texas south of Midland east southeastward across our area and into the northwest Gulf of Mexico. Pressure is lowering over west Texas and New Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds across south central Texas are south southwesterly.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere, a deep trough.. or line of upper level low pressure.. extends southward from the Great Lakes southward through the eastern 2/3rds of the country. The upper level low pressure disturbance over the Baja Peninsula continues. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over south central Texas are westerly 35 to 45 mph.

A stable air mass continues across our area as southerly winds increase and helps to transport low level moisture northward.

The upper air low pressure disturbance, out west over the Baja Peninsula, will deepen and move slowly east northeastward toward Texas over the next 24 hours. As it does, the low level moisture will continue to increase over the area as the air mass grows more unstable.

By late tonight into tomorrow and tomorrow night, a surface cold front, associated with the approaching/passing upper level low, will increase the lift in the atmosphere as it become increasing moist and unstable. Scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms will occur over the area with the possibility of severe thunderstorms.. including the risk of larger hail, damaging thunderstorm winds and even a few tornadoes over our area. At the current time, the NWS/Storm Prediction Center has our area in a “marginal” severe thunderstorm risk. Given the progressive nature of the system, rainfall for this event will stay below one inch.

Once this system passes by tomorrow night, we’ll see clouds break with sunshine returning along with a little cooler temperatures for Thursday and Friday.

It looks like a sunny weekend coming up with a slow warming trend.

Have a good Tuesday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT.. Tuesday / 02 May 2017

TODAY…. Mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 91. South southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Becoming partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms after midnight with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 68. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk as a cold front passes by the evening rush hour. Some thunderstorms may be strong with an associated hail and strong straight line wind threat. A 50% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch. High 85. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming southwesterly in the afternoon before shifting northwesterly by the evening rush hour.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk before 9pm. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch. Decreasing clouds and cooler by midnight. Low 58. North northwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY…. Sunshine. High 78. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 53. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light after midnight.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 81. Light northerly wind becoming more northeasterly by afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 56. Light easterly wind becoming more southeasterly after midnight.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 84. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 59. Light southerly wind.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 86. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 62. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 86. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 09 May 2017 through Monday / 15 May 2017…
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (02 May)……………………………………………. 6:49 am
Sunset this evening (02 May)……………………………………………… 8:08 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (03 May)………………………………………………… 6:49 am
Sunset tomorrow (03 May)…………………………………………………. 8:09 pm