Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

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TK’s Austin / South Central Texas Forecast

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Updated 845am CST.. Friday / 15 February 2013

TODAY…. Mostly sunny and a little cooler. High 60 to 64. Northerly wind 8 to 18 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 33 to 37. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph diminishing after midnight.

SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 61 to 65. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming easterly by mid and late afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Low 36 to 40. Light wind becoming south southeasterly 5 to 10 mph after midnight.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy and a little warmer. High 69 to 73. Southerly wind increasing to 10 to 20 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds developing after midnight. Low 51 to 55. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY /PRESIDENTS DAY/…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy and warmer. High 73 to 77. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph becoming more southwesterly in the afternoon.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy as a cold front passes in the early and mid evening hours. Clearing and cooler after midnight. Low 41 to 45. Southwesterly wind becoming northerly 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY…. Sunshine. High 64 to 68. Northerly wind 8 to 18 mph becoming more easterly late in the day.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with some low clouds after midnight. Low 47 to 51. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY….  Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy.. breezy and more humid with a 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon hours. High 69 to 73. Southerly winds increasing to 8 to 18 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms mainly after midnight. Low 57 to 61. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch.

THURSDAY…. Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of morning rain showers and thunderstorms as a cold front passes. Partly cloudy.. breezy and less humid in the afternoon. High 71 to 75. Southwesterly wind shifting northerly 8 to 15 mph. Morning rainfall..  where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 20 February 2013  through Tuesday / 26 February 2013…
Temperature… Near Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (15 February)…………………………. 7:11 am
Sunset this evening (15 February)………………………….. 6:20 pm
Sunrise Saturday (16 February)……………………………… 7:10 am
Sunset Saturday (16 February)………………………………. 6:20 pm

TK’s Weather Discussion

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Updated 845am CST Friday / 15 February 2013

A Dry and Stable Weather Pattern Continues…
Another Dry Cold Front Late on Monday…
Another Storm System/Cold Front with A Chance of Rain Next Wednesday/Thursday…

On this Friday… surface high pressure is central and southern plains in the wake of a cold front that is moving southeastward through the Texas coastal plains and offshore of the Texas coast. As a result of this pressure pattern, surface winds are northerly across our area in the wake of our early morning cold front.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere, a broad trough of upper air low pressure extends southward from Canada over the eastern 2/3rds of the USA. As a result of this upper air wind flow, our upper level winds are moderate west northwesterly.

A dry and stable weather pattern continues across the area in the wake of a “reinforcing” surface cold front that moved across the area in the morning rush hour this morning. A cooler air mass and a dry and stable weather pattern will continue into the weekend.

High pressure will move eastward with a return south southeasterly surface wind by tomorrow night into Sunday into Monday with the return of late night and early morning low clouds by Sunday night into Monday morning.

Another cold front will move across the area by Monday evening but the latest guidance is now downplaying any mention of rain. Drier air will move into the area in the wake of the front by Monday night into Tuesday.

Another.. perhaps stronger.. cold front will move through Texas by late next Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Longer range guidance makes me think this system will be a little more vigorous and potentially more of a rain maker for Texas. I still think that it may also give parts of north and east Texas and adjoining areas of Oklahoma, Arkansas and Louisiana a threat of severe weather as well.

Have a good Friday night and Saturday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

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TK’s Audio Weather Webcast

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Updated 945am Thursday 14 February 2013 [audio:https://troykimmelweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/2013.0214.1501z.TKW_.Audio_.mp3|titles=2013.0214.1501z.TKW.Audio]