Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

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TK’s Austin / South Central Texas Forecast

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Updated 845am CDT.. Wednesday / 26 June 2013

TODAY….  Morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 99 to 103. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy with low clouds developing after 10pm. Low 73 to 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 99 to 103. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with low clouds developing after 10pm. Low 72 to 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 100 to 104. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with low clouds developing after 10pm. Low 72 to 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 100 to 104. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with low clouds developing after 10pm. Low 72 to 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 98 to 102. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with low clouds developing after 10pm. Low 71 to 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 98 to 102. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with low clouds developing after 10pm. Low 71 to 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 98 to 102. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 3 July 2013  through Tuesday / 9 July 2013…
Temperature… Near Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (26 June)…………………………… 6:31 am
Sunset this evening (26 June)……………………………. 8:37 pm
Sunrise Thursday (27 June)………………………………. 6:31 am
Sunset Thursday (27 June)……………………………….. 8:37 pm

TK’s Weather Discussion

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Updated 845am CDT Wednesday / 26 June 2013

…. Little Change For Now ….
…. A Dry and Stable Weather Pattern Continues ….
…. Guidance Suggest a Pattern Change by Sunday into Early Next Week ….

On this Wednesday morning…. surface high pressure extends westward from the southwest North Atlantic Ocean into the southeastern USA. Low pressure is situated over western Kansas and eastern Colorado with a trough.. or line.. or surface low pressure extending southwestward from the low into west Texas and eastern New Mexico. Given this surface pressure pattern, surface winds are southerly across our area.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere… an upper level low pressure area is spinning counterclockwise over the eastern Pacific and the northwestern part of the USA. An area of upper air high pressure is situated over Texas and northeastern Mexico. As a result of this upper air pattern, winds over south central Texas and the Austin metro area about 18,000 feet above the ground are relatively light and variable with winds less than 25 mph.

It looks like the dry and summer weather pattern will continue through the next seven days. The atmosphere continues to be quite stable with general upper level high pressure area over the area acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere. Temperatures will be  above seasonal levels over the next seven days with highs near or just above 100 degrees.

The latest guidance does suggest.. and I’d like to watch this over the next day or two.. a weak late season cold front will move southeastward into our area as the upper air patterns shifts a bit allowing for a more northerly wind aloft, which is quite unusual for this time of year. Even with the lift, associated with the frontal system, moving into the area, the question is whether it will be able to overcome the stable summertime atmosphere in place. I’m continuing my dry seven day forecast for now as I watch this possibility.

The tropics also remain fairly quiet for now.

Have a good Wednesday night and Thursday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
[email protected]
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

TK’s Audio Weather Webcast

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Updated 945am CT – Tuesday / 26 June 2013 [audio:https://troykimmelweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/06/2013.0625.1501z.TKW_.Audio_.mp3|titles=2013.0625.1501z.TKW.Audio]